Race 5A

salt-pond-invite

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

60.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Benjamin Reeser 23.5% 19.8% 20.7% 11.9% 13.6% 6.6% 2.1% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1%
Owen Grainger 26.6% 25.0% 19.3% 14.0% 8.2% 4.3% 2.1% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0%
Edward Herman 24.4% 24.7% 18.3% 17.6% 9.1% 3.8% 1.4% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
Zachary Amelotte 6.0% 8.7% 12.3% 14.5% 16.0% 17.2% 12.6% 7.8% 4.0% 0.9%
Curtis Mallory 2.6% 3.4% 4.6% 5.2% 7.1% 8.9% 13.5% 16.9% 27.0% 10.8%
Richard Kalich 6.3% 5.6% 7.8% 10.2% 14.0% 14.6% 15.8% 13.7% 9.3% 2.7%
Sean Morrison 2.9% 3.6% 5.2% 8.2% 10.3% 14.5% 17.0% 18.4% 14.5% 5.4%
William Delong 4.3% 6.2% 6.3% 11.3% 12.2% 14.1% 16.5% 17.0% 9.7% 2.4%
Caleb Burt 2.9% 2.4% 4.8% 5.8% 7.8% 13.2% 14.0% 18.0% 22.3% 8.8%
Georgia Green 0.5% 0.6% 0.7% 1.3% 1.7% 2.8% 5.0% 5.8% 12.7% 68.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.