← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
43.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of Pennsylvania2.68+4.47vs Predicted
-
2Ocean County College1.73+6.41vs Predicted
-
3U. S. Naval Academy3.67+0.19vs Predicted
-
4St. Mary's College of Maryland2.89+1.12vs Predicted
-
5Christopher Newport University1.61+3.92vs Predicted
-
6Stevens Institute of Technology2.75-0.59vs Predicted
-
7Monmouth University1.95+0.83vs Predicted
-
8University of Delaware0.41+4.28vs Predicted
-
9Fordham University1.85-0.90vs Predicted
-
10Drexel University1.75-1.51vs Predicted
-
11Washington College3.07-6.49vs Predicted
-
12Stevens Institute of Technology-0.40+2.06vs Predicted
-
13Villanova University1.59-4.06vs Predicted
-
14Princeton University1.10-3.62vs Predicted
-
15Penn State University0.99-4.13vs Predicted
-
16Rutgers University-0.33-1.96vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
5.47University of Pennsylvania2.680.1%1st Place
-
8.41Ocean County College1.730.0%1st Place
-
3.19U. S. Naval Academy3.670.3%1st Place
-
5.12St. Mary's College of Maryland2.890.1%1st Place
-
8.92Christopher Newport University1.610.0%1st Place
-
5.41Stevens Institute of Technology2.750.1%1st Place
-
7.83Monmouth University1.950.1%1st Place
-
12.28University of Delaware0.410.0%1st Place
-
8.1Fordham University1.850.0%1st Place
-
8.49Drexel University1.750.0%1st Place
-
4.51Washington College3.070.2%1st Place
-
14.06Stevens Institute of Technology-0.400.0%1st Place
-
8.94Villanova University1.590.0%1st Place
-
10.38Princeton University1.100.0%1st Place
-
10.87Penn State University0.990.0%1st Place
-
14.04Rutgers University-0.330.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Russom | 9.9% | 11.0% | 12.1% | 9.5% | 10.8% | 9.9% | 10.3% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Zachary Schippe | 3.8% | 3.8% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 9.3% | 8.9% | 9.1% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 5.5% | 1.8% | 0.8% |
| Michael Grove | 25.7% | 21.0% | 15.4% | 13.8% | 9.8% | 7.4% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Don Hause III | 11.4% | 12.4% | 11.4% | 11.6% | 11.3% | 9.8% | 10.0% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Victoria Miller | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 7.6% | 9.4% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 10.6% | 9.9% | 8.9% | 6.8% | 2.8% | 0.7% |
| Gerard Tonachel | 9.4% | 11.0% | 11.2% | 12.5% | 10.7% | 11.3% | 9.0% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 1.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Paul Stevens | 5.7% | 4.2% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 10.0% | 8.8% | 10.1% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 3.2% | 1.4% | 0.1% |
| Suzanne Reynolds | 0.7% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 11.3% | 19.0% | 20.1% | 11.4% |
| John O'Riordan | 4.4% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 8.7% | 9.1% | 10.1% | 8.4% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 2.0% | 0.7% |
| Joan Boyle | 4.2% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 9.7% | 11.4% | 11.0% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 3.9% | 2.0% | 0.6% |
| Sam Fitzgerald | 15.2% | 15.0% | 12.6% | 11.3% | 11.8% | 11.3% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew DaPonte | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 11.5% | 23.5% | 40.9% |
| Domenic Re | 2.4% | 2.8% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 10.7% | 10.4% | 9.6% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 3.0% | 0.8% |
| Gavin Schlissel | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 5.2% | 7.7% | 9.1% | 12.1% | 13.6% | 12.5% | 7.0% | 2.9% |
| Rachel Bennung | 1.9% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 11.2% | 14.8% | 14.7% | 9.2% | 4.1% |
| Laine Meelheim | 0.1% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 4.6% | 7.5% | 10.7% | 27.0% | 37.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.