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📊 Prediction Accuracy
60.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University1.82+1.80vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island1.84+0.76vs Predicted
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3McGill University-0.61+4.27vs Predicted
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4Boston University0.16+1.74vs Predicted
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5U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.60-1.92vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.47+0.93vs Predicted
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7University of Vermont0.58-2.05vs Predicted
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8University of Massachusetts at Amherst0.08-2.17vs Predicted
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9Salve Regina University-0.20-2.54vs Predicted
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10Bates College-2.03-0.82vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.8Roger Williams University1.820.3%1st Place
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2.76University of Rhode Island1.840.3%1st Place
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7.27McGill University-0.610.0%1st Place
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5.74Boston University0.160.0%1st Place
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3.08U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.600.2%1st Place
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6.93Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.470.0%1st Place
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4.95University of Vermont0.580.1%1st Place
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5.83University of Massachusetts at Amherst0.080.0%1st Place
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6.46Salve Regina University-0.200.0%1st Place
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9.18Bates College-2.030.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Edward Herman | 28.3% | 23.4% | 17.9% | 12.6% | 10.2% | 4.8% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Owen Grainger | 27.7% | 23.0% | 19.4% | 14.8% | 8.7% | 3.9% | 2.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Curtis Mallory | 2.0% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 12.8% | 18.9% | 27.4% | 11.6% |
| Richard Kalich | 3.7% | 5.2% | 8.5% | 11.5% | 14.5% | 16.3% | 16.9% | 12.6% | 9.3% | 1.5% |
| Benjamin Reeser | 20.6% | 22.9% | 20.4% | 15.7% | 10.6% | 6.3% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Caleb Burt | 3.0% | 2.7% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 8.3% | 10.8% | 14.8% | 18.7% | 20.9% | 9.8% |
| Zachary Amelotte | 6.2% | 9.8% | 11.3% | 13.4% | 17.4% | 16.0% | 13.4% | 8.0% | 3.7% | 0.8% |
| William Delong | 4.6% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 11.0% | 11.7% | 16.7% | 15.5% | 15.0% | 10.3% | 2.1% |
| Sean Morrison | 3.4% | 3.7% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 9.6% | 13.9% | 16.8% | 18.2% | 16.2% | 4.6% |
| Georgia Green | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 6.6% | 11.6% | 69.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.