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📊 Prediction Accuracy
70.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston University0.16+4.70vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.47+4.97vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island1.84-0.19vs Predicted
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4U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.60-0.90vs Predicted
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5University of Vermont0.58-0.10vs Predicted
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6University of Massachusetts at Amherst0.08-0.15vs Predicted
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7Roger Williams University1.82-4.15vs Predicted
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8Salve Regina University-0.20-1.60vs Predicted
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9McGill University-0.61-1.76vs Predicted
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10Bates College-2.03-0.83vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.7Boston University0.160.1%1st Place
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6.97Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.470.0%1st Place
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2.81University of Rhode Island1.840.3%1st Place
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3.1U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.600.2%1st Place
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4.9University of Vermont0.580.1%1st Place
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5.85University of Massachusetts at Amherst0.080.1%1st Place
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2.85Roger Williams University1.820.2%1st Place
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6.4Salve Regina University-0.200.0%1st Place
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7.24McGill University-0.610.0%1st Place
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9.17Bates College-2.030.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Richard Kalich | 5.7% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 11.7% | 11.1% | 16.7% | 15.9% | 15.4% | 8.3% | 1.9% |
| Caleb Burt | 2.8% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 9.0% | 10.6% | 14.1% | 19.5% | 22.1% | 9.2% |
| Owen Grainger | 25.1% | 23.5% | 20.7% | 15.5% | 9.1% | 3.7% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Benjamin Reeser | 21.1% | 20.3% | 21.3% | 16.0% | 11.8% | 6.0% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Zachary Amelotte | 8.3% | 9.3% | 11.1% | 13.4% | 16.2% | 15.6% | 13.3% | 7.5% | 4.5% | 0.8% |
| William Delong | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 13.2% | 16.1% | 16.2% | 14.4% | 9.9% | 3.3% |
| Edward Herman | 25.0% | 23.4% | 19.9% | 16.0% | 8.3% | 5.1% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Sean Morrison | 2.9% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 8.0% | 11.5% | 13.4% | 16.2% | 17.8% | 15.0% | 5.1% |
| Curtis Mallory | 2.7% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 7.3% | 9.6% | 14.9% | 18.2% | 25.0% | 12.0% |
| Georgia Green | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 1.2% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 14.8% | 67.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.