Race 1B

salt-pond-invite

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

90.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.0
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Jack Crager 28.2% 23.6% 17.8% 13.7% 9.0% 4.8% 1.9% 1.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Christopher Chwalk 24.5% 23.5% 18.9% 14.9% 9.7% 5.7% 2.4% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0%
David Vinogradov 19.1% 17.1% 19.4% 16.6% 16.3% 6.9% 3.6% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0%
Ella Towner 8.6% 12.4% 14.8% 16.3% 17.2% 15.8% 9.8% 4.1% 0.9% 0.1%
Tyler Winowiecki 2.9% 3.6% 5.3% 5.7% 7.3% 12.2% 18.5% 29.3% 13.3% 1.9%
Buck Rathbun 9.1% 10.1% 11.9% 15.4% 15.9% 15.5% 13.6% 6.9% 1.6% 0.0%
Kevin McNeill 2.3% 2.6% 4.1% 6.5% 9.5% 14.6% 21.3% 26.1% 11.5% 1.5%
Tiernan O'Kane 4.5% 6.2% 7.0% 9.1% 12.7% 19.1% 20.6% 15.8% 4.5% 0.5%
Harry Boutemy 0.6% 0.7% 0.6% 1.4% 1.8% 4.1% 5.1% 11.7% 48.9% 25.1%
David Rush 0.2% 0.2% 0.2% 0.4% 0.6% 1.3% 3.2% 3.8% 19.2% 70.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.