Race 2B

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

90.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Jack Crager 27.7% 23.6% 18.5% 12.5% 9.4% 5.2% 2.4% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
Christopher Chwalk 24.4% 22.5% 18.4% 16.4% 10.6% 4.7% 2.4% 0.6% 0.0% 0.0%
Buck Rathbun 8.5% 9.2% 11.2% 13.9% 18.9% 17.5% 12.5% 7.1% 1.1% 0.1%
David Vinogradov 17.9% 18.8% 22.0% 17.2% 11.4% 7.6% 4.0% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
Ella Towner 10.8% 11.4% 14.2% 16.4% 17.8% 14.4% 10.2% 4.0% 0.8% 0.0%
Kevin McNeill 4.0% 3.6% 4.9% 5.9% 7.9% 14.4% 22.1% 24.6% 9.9% 2.7%
Tiernan O'Kane 3.8% 5.9% 6.6% 10.2% 12.6% 20.1% 19.7% 15.8% 5.0% 0.3%
David Rush 0.2% 0.0% 0.2% 0.4% 0.9% 1.2% 2.5% 4.5% 21.5% 68.6%
Harry Boutemy 0.7% 0.5% 0.8% 1.6% 2.4% 3.0% 5.3% 12.5% 47.4% 25.8%
Tyler Winowiecki 2.0% 4.5% 3.2% 5.5% 8.1% 11.9% 18.9% 29.4% 14.0% 2.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.