Race 3B

salt-pond-invite

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

90.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Christopher Chwalk 26.5% 20.6% 17.6% 13.6% 10.9% 6.9% 2.2% 1.6% 0.1% 0.0%
Joey Richardson 15.7% 18.4% 16.6% 16.4% 13.9% 11.0% 5.9% 1.9% 0.1% 0.1%
Jack Crager 24.9% 21.2% 18.5% 16.6% 9.6% 6.5% 1.8% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0%
Buck Rathbun 7.0% 9.8% 13.3% 11.6% 16.0% 16.2% 15.6% 8.1% 2.4% 0.0%
Tyler Winowiecki 3.1% 4.0% 4.5% 5.2% 6.4% 8.7% 15.7% 34.4% 15.9% 2.1%
Ella Towner 11.8% 9.9% 12.6% 14.3% 16.2% 14.2% 12.1% 7.8% 1.1% 0.0%
Evan Tofolo 5.5% 9.3% 9.3% 13.1% 13.6% 17.9% 19.1% 9.3% 2.8% 0.1%
Tiernan O'Kane 4.7% 5.7% 6.6% 7.8% 11.4% 14.7% 21.1% 21.2% 6.3% 0.5%
David Rush 0.2% 0.4% 0.4% 0.3% 0.6% 1.0% 2.2% 3.5% 19.1% 72.3%
Harry Boutemy 0.6% 0.7% 0.6% 1.1% 1.4% 2.9% 4.3% 11.4% 52.1% 24.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.