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📊 Prediction Accuracy

70.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Jack Crager 27.4% 21.8% 17.7% 13.9% 9.2% 6.1% 2.7% 1.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Christopher Chwalk 24.5% 20.2% 18.9% 14.4% 12.0% 6.0% 2.7% 1.3% 0.0% 0.0%
Tyler Winowiecki 2.3% 3.4% 3.5% 5.0% 6.2% 8.7% 15.7% 36.4% 16.2% 2.6%
Buck Rathbun 7.1% 9.4% 11.7% 14.0% 15.6% 18.4% 14.2% 7.7% 1.8% 0.1%
Joey Richardson 17.0% 16.8% 17.9% 15.7% 15.4% 9.1% 5.8% 2.1% 0.2% 0.0%
Tiernan O'Kane 6.0% 4.5% 8.0% 8.3% 9.9% 15.1% 20.9% 19.8% 7.0% 0.5%
Ella Towner 7.8% 14.0% 11.1% 14.8% 17.1% 15.8% 12.9% 5.4% 0.9% 0.2%
Evan Tofolo 7.2% 9.0% 10.1% 12.6% 12.1% 17.6% 17.8% 10.4% 3.1% 0.1%
Harry Boutemy 0.4% 0.9% 0.8% 1.0% 2.0% 2.0% 5.3% 11.7% 50.4% 25.5%
David Rush 0.3% 0.0% 0.3% 0.3% 0.5% 1.2% 2.0% 4.1% 20.3% 71.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.