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📊 Prediction Accuracy
70.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University1.46+1.91vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island1.38+1.04vs Predicted
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3Salve Regina University-0.82+3.96vs Predicted
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4Boston University0.35+0.84vs Predicted
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5U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.05-1.42vs Predicted
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6University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.23-0.15vs Predicted
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7University of Vermont0.53-2.48vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.20-2.91vs Predicted
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9McGill University-2.28-0.30vs Predicted
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10Bates College-3.28-0.48vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.91Roger Williams University1.460.3%1st Place
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3.04University of Rhode Island1.380.2%1st Place
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6.96Salve Regina University-0.820.0%1st Place
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4.84Boston University0.350.1%1st Place
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3.58U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.050.2%1st Place
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5.85University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.230.1%1st Place
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4.52University of Vermont0.530.1%1st Place
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5.09Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.200.1%1st Place
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8.7McGill University-2.280.0%1st Place
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9.52Bates College-3.280.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Crager | 27.4% | 21.8% | 17.7% | 13.9% | 9.2% | 6.1% | 2.7% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Chwalk | 24.5% | 20.2% | 18.9% | 14.4% | 12.0% | 6.0% | 2.7% | 1.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Tyler Winowiecki | 2.3% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 8.7% | 15.7% | 36.4% | 16.2% | 2.6% |
| Buck Rathbun | 7.1% | 9.4% | 11.7% | 14.0% | 15.6% | 18.4% | 14.2% | 7.7% | 1.8% | 0.1% |
| Joey Richardson | 17.0% | 16.8% | 17.9% | 15.7% | 15.4% | 9.1% | 5.8% | 2.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Tiernan O'Kane | 6.0% | 4.5% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 9.9% | 15.1% | 20.9% | 19.8% | 7.0% | 0.5% |
| Ella Towner | 7.8% | 14.0% | 11.1% | 14.8% | 17.1% | 15.8% | 12.9% | 5.4% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Evan Tofolo | 7.2% | 9.0% | 10.1% | 12.6% | 12.1% | 17.6% | 17.8% | 10.4% | 3.1% | 0.1% |
| Harry Boutemy | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 5.3% | 11.7% | 50.4% | 25.5% |
| David Rush | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 4.1% | 20.3% | 71.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.