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📊 Prediction Accuracy

70.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Christopher Chwalk 24.6% 22.4% 18.3% 13.8% 9.9% 6.2% 3.1% 1.7% 0.0% 0.0%
Buck Rathbun 8.0% 8.1% 12.0% 11.6% 16.6% 16.4% 16.0% 9.2% 1.8% 0.3%
Joey Richardson 16.9% 15.5% 16.5% 18.1% 15.4% 9.1% 6.0% 2.0% 0.5% 0.0%
Jack Crager 25.4% 24.3% 18.9% 13.8% 8.6% 6.8% 1.8% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0%
Tyler Winowiecki 2.9% 3.7% 4.2% 5.8% 6.3% 9.4% 15.0% 34.6% 15.8% 2.3%
Ella Towner 10.8% 10.5% 11.9% 16.6% 13.7% 15.5% 13.4% 6.1% 1.5% 0.0%
Tiernan O'Kane 3.7% 5.4% 6.7% 7.8% 11.9% 17.5% 20.8% 20.1% 5.5% 0.6%
Evan Tofolo 7.1% 8.8% 10.5% 11.4% 14.8% 15.5% 17.7% 11.7% 2.2% 0.3%
Harry Boutemy 0.4% 1.0% 0.7% 1.1% 2.1% 2.8% 3.8% 10.4% 52.5% 25.2%
David Rush 0.2% 0.3% 0.3% 0.0% 0.7% 0.8% 2.4% 3.8% 20.2% 71.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.