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📊 Prediction Accuracy
70.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island1.38+2.02vs Predicted
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2Boston University0.35+2.93vs Predicted
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3U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.05+0.64vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University1.46-1.15vs Predicted
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5Salve Regina University-0.82+1.81vs Predicted
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6University of Vermont0.53-1.49vs Predicted
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7University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.23-1.08vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.20-2.91vs Predicted
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9McGill University-2.28-0.29vs Predicted
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10Bates College-3.28-0.48vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.02University of Rhode Island1.380.2%1st Place
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4.93Boston University0.350.1%1st Place
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3.64U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.050.2%1st Place
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2.85Roger Williams University1.460.3%1st Place
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6.81Salve Regina University-0.820.0%1st Place
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4.51University of Vermont0.530.1%1st Place
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5.92University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.230.0%1st Place
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5.09Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.200.1%1st Place
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8.71McGill University-2.280.0%1st Place
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9.52Bates College-3.280.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christopher Chwalk | 24.6% | 22.4% | 18.3% | 13.8% | 9.9% | 6.2% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Buck Rathbun | 8.0% | 8.1% | 12.0% | 11.6% | 16.6% | 16.4% | 16.0% | 9.2% | 1.8% | 0.3% |
| Joey Richardson | 16.9% | 15.5% | 16.5% | 18.1% | 15.4% | 9.1% | 6.0% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Jack Crager | 25.4% | 24.3% | 18.9% | 13.8% | 8.6% | 6.8% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Tyler Winowiecki | 2.9% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 9.4% | 15.0% | 34.6% | 15.8% | 2.3% |
| Ella Towner | 10.8% | 10.5% | 11.9% | 16.6% | 13.7% | 15.5% | 13.4% | 6.1% | 1.5% | 0.0% |
| Tiernan O'Kane | 3.7% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 11.9% | 17.5% | 20.8% | 20.1% | 5.5% | 0.6% |
| Evan Tofolo | 7.1% | 8.8% | 10.5% | 11.4% | 14.8% | 15.5% | 17.7% | 11.7% | 2.2% | 0.3% |
| Harry Boutemy | 0.4% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 10.4% | 52.5% | 25.2% |
| David Rush | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 2.4% | 3.8% | 20.2% | 71.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.