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📊 Prediction Accuracy
70.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.05+2.59vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island1.38+1.03vs Predicted
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3Boston University0.35+1.92vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University1.46-1.08vs Predicted
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5University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.23+0.86vs Predicted
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6Salve Regina University-0.82+0.84vs Predicted
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7University of Vermont0.53-2.50vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.20-2.88vs Predicted
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9McGill University-2.28-0.30vs Predicted
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10Bates College-3.28-0.49vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.59U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.050.2%1st Place
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3.03University of Rhode Island1.380.2%1st Place
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4.92Boston University0.350.1%1st Place
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2.92Roger Williams University1.460.2%1st Place
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5.86University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.230.1%1st Place
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6.84Salve Regina University-0.820.0%1st Place
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4.5University of Vermont0.530.1%1st Place
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5.12Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.200.1%1st Place
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8.7McGill University-2.280.0%1st Place
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9.51Bates College-3.280.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joey Richardson | 18.4% | 16.6% | 18.3% | 14.0% | 13.0% | 10.5% | 5.6% | 3.0% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Chwalk | 24.5% | 20.9% | 16.6% | 17.4% | 10.7% | 6.3% | 2.6% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Buck Rathbun | 8.1% | 8.9% | 10.8% | 11.2% | 16.5% | 18.1% | 15.8% | 8.5% | 2.0% | 0.1% |
| Jack Crager | 24.4% | 23.0% | 18.2% | 17.0% | 8.9% | 5.6% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Tiernan O'Kane | 5.4% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 10.6% | 12.9% | 24.1% | 19.0% | 6.1% | 0.7% |
| Tyler Winowiecki | 3.5% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 7.1% | 9.0% | 15.6% | 34.0% | 16.8% | 2.2% |
| Ella Towner | 8.3% | 12.0% | 13.4% | 14.8% | 16.2% | 17.1% | 12.0% | 5.2% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Evan Tofolo | 6.8% | 9.6% | 9.7% | 10.9% | 14.6% | 16.9% | 16.2% | 12.2% | 2.9% | 0.2% |
| Harry Boutemy | 0.4% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 10.8% | 51.6% | 25.5% |
| David Rush | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 2.2% | 5.6% | 19.0% | 71.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.