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📊 Prediction Accuracy

70.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Joey Richardson 18.4% 16.6% 18.3% 14.0% 13.0% 10.5% 5.6% 3.0% 0.6% 0.0%
Christopher Chwalk 24.5% 20.9% 16.6% 17.4% 10.7% 6.3% 2.6% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0%
Buck Rathbun 8.1% 8.9% 10.8% 11.2% 16.5% 18.1% 15.8% 8.5% 2.0% 0.1%
Jack Crager 24.4% 23.0% 18.2% 17.0% 8.9% 5.6% 2.1% 0.8% 0.0% 0.0%
Tiernan O'Kane 5.4% 5.3% 7.1% 8.8% 10.6% 12.9% 24.1% 19.0% 6.1% 0.7%
Tyler Winowiecki 3.5% 3.0% 4.3% 4.5% 7.1% 9.0% 15.6% 34.0% 16.8% 2.2%
Ella Towner 8.3% 12.0% 13.4% 14.8% 16.2% 17.1% 12.0% 5.2% 0.9% 0.1%
Evan Tofolo 6.8% 9.6% 9.7% 10.9% 14.6% 16.9% 16.2% 12.2% 2.9% 0.2%
Harry Boutemy 0.4% 0.6% 1.2% 1.2% 1.6% 3.3% 3.8% 10.8% 51.6% 25.5%
David Rush 0.2% 0.1% 0.4% 0.2% 0.8% 0.3% 2.2% 5.6% 19.0% 71.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.