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📊 Prediction Accuracy
80.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston University0.35+3.83vs Predicted
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2U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.05+1.62vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University1.46-0.07vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island1.38-0.96vs Predicted
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5University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.23+0.87vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.20-0.91vs Predicted
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7University of Vermont0.53-2.46vs Predicted
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8Salve Regina University-0.82-1.14vs Predicted
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9McGill University-2.28-0.29vs Predicted
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10Bates College-3.28-0.48vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.83Boston University0.350.1%1st Place
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3.62U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.050.2%1st Place
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2.93Roger Williams University1.460.3%1st Place
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3.04University of Rhode Island1.380.2%1st Place
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5.87University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.230.1%1st Place
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5.09Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.200.1%1st Place
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4.54University of Vermont0.530.1%1st Place
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6.86Salve Regina University-0.820.0%1st Place
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8.71McGill University-2.280.0%1st Place
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9.52Bates College-3.280.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Buck Rathbun | 8.8% | 9.7% | 12.2% | 11.4% | 16.0% | 15.1% | 15.6% | 8.7% | 2.1% | 0.4% |
| Joey Richardson | 15.9% | 18.7% | 16.4% | 15.7% | 13.8% | 11.4% | 5.5% | 2.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Jack Crager | 25.4% | 22.3% | 17.7% | 14.6% | 12.0% | 4.8% | 2.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Chwalk | 24.1% | 19.1% | 20.7% | 15.6% | 10.6% | 5.9% | 3.4% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Tiernan O'Kane | 5.0% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 9.4% | 8.7% | 14.9% | 20.0% | 21.5% | 6.7% | 0.6% |
| Evan Tofolo | 8.8% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 11.2% | 14.8% | 18.1% | 16.9% | 10.8% | 3.0% | 0.0% |
| Ella Towner | 8.5% | 12.0% | 12.5% | 15.7% | 15.2% | 15.8% | 13.0% | 6.2% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Tyler Winowiecki | 2.7% | 2.6% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 10.4% | 15.5% | 34.2% | 16.1% | 2.0% |
| Harry Boutemy | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 5.5% | 11.3% | 50.0% | 26.1% |
| David Rush | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 3.7% | 20.8% | 70.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.