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📊 Prediction Accuracy

80.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Buck Rathbun 8.8% 9.7% 12.2% 11.4% 16.0% 15.1% 15.6% 8.7% 2.1% 0.4%
Joey Richardson 15.9% 18.7% 16.4% 15.7% 13.8% 11.4% 5.5% 2.5% 0.1% 0.0%
Jack Crager 25.4% 22.3% 17.7% 14.6% 12.0% 4.8% 2.6% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
Christopher Chwalk 24.1% 19.1% 20.7% 15.6% 10.6% 5.9% 3.4% 0.6% 0.0% 0.0%
Tiernan O'Kane 5.0% 6.8% 6.4% 9.4% 8.7% 14.9% 20.0% 21.5% 6.7% 0.6%
Evan Tofolo 8.8% 7.7% 8.7% 11.2% 14.8% 18.1% 16.9% 10.8% 3.0% 0.0%
Ella Towner 8.5% 12.0% 12.5% 15.7% 15.2% 15.8% 13.0% 6.2% 1.1% 0.0%
Tyler Winowiecki 2.7% 2.6% 4.4% 5.5% 6.6% 10.4% 15.5% 34.2% 16.1% 2.0%
Harry Boutemy 0.6% 0.9% 0.7% 0.7% 1.8% 2.4% 5.5% 11.3% 50.0% 26.1%
David Rush 0.2% 0.2% 0.3% 0.2% 0.5% 1.2% 2.0% 3.7% 20.8% 70.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.