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📊 Prediction Accuracy
25.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1St. Mary's College of Maryland2.89+3.94vs Predicted
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2Stevens Institute of Technology2.75+3.39vs Predicted
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3University of Pennsylvania2.68+2.58vs Predicted
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4Washington College3.07+0.63vs Predicted
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5Monmouth University1.95+2.83vs Predicted
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6U. S. Naval Academy3.67-2.81vs Predicted
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7Fordham University1.85+1.24vs Predicted
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8Princeton University1.10+2.38vs Predicted
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9Drexel University1.75-0.57vs Predicted
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10University of Delaware0.41+2.35vs Predicted
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11Stevens Institute of Technology-0.40+2.95vs Predicted
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12Villanova University1.59-3.05vs Predicted
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13Penn State University0.99-2.26vs Predicted
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14Christopher Newport University1.61-5.23vs Predicted
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15Rutgers University-0.33-1.02vs Predicted
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16Ocean County College1.73-7.35vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.94St. Mary's College of Maryland2.890.1%1st Place
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5.39Stevens Institute of Technology2.750.1%1st Place
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5.58University of Pennsylvania2.680.1%1st Place
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4.63Washington College3.070.1%1st Place
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7.83Monmouth University1.950.0%1st Place
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3.19U. S. Naval Academy3.670.3%1st Place
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8.24Fordham University1.850.1%1st Place
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10.38Princeton University1.100.0%1st Place
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8.43Drexel University1.750.0%1st Place
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12.35University of Delaware0.410.0%1st Place
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13.95Stevens Institute of Technology-0.400.0%1st Place
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8.95Villanova University1.590.0%1st Place
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10.74Penn State University0.990.0%1st Place
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8.77Christopher Newport University1.610.0%1st Place
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13.98Rutgers University-0.330.0%1st Place
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8.65Ocean County College1.730.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Don Hause III | 12.4% | 11.6% | 14.4% | 11.3% | 12.8% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Gerard Tonachel | 10.7% | 11.6% | 10.7% | 10.7% | 10.8% | 11.0% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 3.8% | 2.1% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Michael Russom | 10.5% | 9.0% | 10.7% | 10.3% | 11.0% | 10.5% | 9.6% | 10.1% | 6.8% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Sam Fitzgerald | 12.0% | 16.1% | 12.1% | 13.7% | 10.6% | 10.7% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 2.9% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Paul Stevens | 4.2% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 9.9% | 9.3% | 9.9% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 3.1% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Michael Grove | 26.3% | 20.1% | 17.8% | 11.8% | 8.6% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| John O'Riordan | 5.1% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 9.6% | 8.3% | 10.1% | 10.2% | 7.5% | 3.6% | 2.3% | 0.2% |
| Gavin Schlissel | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 10.3% | 11.1% | 12.1% | 14.9% | 7.0% | 2.4% |
| Joan Boyle | 3.6% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 9.8% | 10.9% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 2.1% | 0.9% |
| Suzanne Reynolds | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 14.5% | 18.6% | 21.5% | 10.7% |
| Andrew DaPonte | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 9.7% | 22.4% | 42.6% |
| Domenic Re | 3.1% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 8.9% | 9.5% | 8.9% | 9.7% | 9.8% | 7.9% | 2.5% | 0.7% |
| Rachel Bennung | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 9.9% | 12.0% | 12.7% | 12.9% | 9.8% | 3.9% |
| Victoria Miller | 3.4% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 9.8% | 7.9% | 9.9% | 9.0% | 10.7% | 8.5% | 5.7% | 2.7% | 0.5% |
| Laine Meelheim | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 7.6% | 12.1% | 26.0% | 37.3% |
| Zachary Schippe | 3.0% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 9.9% | 10.5% | 11.8% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 4.5% | 2.5% | 0.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.