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📊 Prediction Accuracy
23.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island3.23+4.72vs Predicted
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2Yale University3.29+3.60vs Predicted
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3Tufts University2.43+5.78vs Predicted
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4Brown University3.33+1.68vs Predicted
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5Brown University2.29+4.16vs Predicted
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6Boston University1.69+5.65vs Predicted
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7Dartmouth College2.82+0.36vs Predicted
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8Connecticut College1.59+3.51vs Predicted
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9Roger Williams University3.10-2.48vs Predicted
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10Boston College2.67-2.22vs Predicted
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11Harvard University3.03-4.20vs Predicted
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12Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.73-0.71vs Predicted
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13Bowdoin College2.81-5.50vs Predicted
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14University of Vermont1.32-1.27vs Predicted
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15Northeastern University1.37-2.50vs Predicted
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16U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.76-8.32vs Predicted
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17Olin College of Engineering0.52-2.25vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.72University of Rhode Island3.230.1%1st Place
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5.6Yale University3.290.1%1st Place
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8.78Tufts University2.430.1%1st Place
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5.68Brown University3.330.1%1st Place
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9.16Brown University2.290.0%1st Place
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11.65Boston University1.690.0%1st Place
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7.36Dartmouth College2.820.1%1st Place
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11.51Connecticut College1.590.0%1st Place
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6.52Roger Williams University3.100.1%1st Place
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7.78Boston College2.670.1%1st Place
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6.8Harvard University3.030.1%1st Place
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11.29Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.730.0%1st Place
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7.5Bowdoin College2.810.1%1st Place
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12.73University of Vermont1.320.0%1st Place
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12.5Northeastern University1.370.0%1st Place
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7.68U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.760.1%1st Place
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14.75Olin College of Engineering0.520.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kerem Erkmen | 13.6% | 10.9% | 9.7% | 9.7% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Stephan Baker | 12.3% | 12.0% | 9.9% | 9.4% | 9.8% | 10.0% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ben Mueller | 5.0% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 2.8% | 0.9% |
| Guthrie Braun | 12.3% | 11.8% | 10.3% | 9.7% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Leyton Borcherding | 3.8% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 5.7% | 8.4% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 3.7% | 2.0% |
| Noah Robitshek | 2.4% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 8.6% | 10.7% | 9.6% | 12.0% | 12.2% | 8.3% |
| William Michels | 7.4% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 8.7% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Skylor Sweet | 3.3% | 1.3% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 11.6% | 12.5% | 12.7% | 8.8% |
| Carlos de Castro | 7.5% | 9.9% | 8.8% | 9.1% | 9.9% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Peter Joslin | 5.4% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 0.6% |
| Mitchell Callahan | 9.4% | 9.1% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Julius Heitkoetter | 2.5% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 11.2% | 13.4% | 11.6% | 5.5% |
| Thomas Hall | 6.6% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 1.4% | 0.3% |
| Calvin Lamosse | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 11.5% | 14.4% | 15.9% | 15.0% |
| Joshua Dillon | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 12.0% | 12.6% | 17.4% | 13.4% |
| Colman Schofield | 5.5% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 9.2% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 0.4% |
| James Jagielski | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.5% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 8.7% | 17.1% | 44.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.