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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University3.33+4.40vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College2.82+5.20vs Predicted
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3Brown University2.29+6.26vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island3.23+2.03vs Predicted
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5Tufts University2.43+3.67vs Predicted
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6Harvard University3.03+0.79vs Predicted
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7U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.76+0.55vs Predicted
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8Boston University1.69+3.23vs Predicted
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9Boston College2.67-0.91vs Predicted
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10Bowdoin College2.81-2.72vs Predicted
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11University of Vermont1.32+1.69vs Predicted
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12Yale University3.29-6.21vs Predicted
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13Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.73-1.58vs Predicted
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14Roger Williams University3.10-7.55vs Predicted
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15Olin College of Engineering0.52-0.33vs Predicted
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16Connecticut College1.59-4.12vs Predicted
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17Northeastern University1.37-4.40vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.4Brown University3.330.1%1st Place
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7.2Dartmouth College2.820.1%1st Place
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9.26Brown University2.290.1%1st Place
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6.03University of Rhode Island3.230.1%1st Place
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8.67Tufts University2.430.0%1st Place
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6.79Harvard University3.030.1%1st Place
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7.55U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.760.1%1st Place
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11.23Boston University1.690.0%1st Place
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8.09Boston College2.670.1%1st Place
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7.28Bowdoin College2.810.1%1st Place
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12.69University of Vermont1.320.0%1st Place
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5.79Yale University3.290.1%1st Place
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11.42Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.730.0%1st Place
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6.45Roger Williams University3.100.1%1st Place
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14.67Olin College of Engineering0.520.0%1st Place
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11.88Connecticut College1.590.0%1st Place
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12.6Northeastern University1.370.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Guthrie Braun | 14.1% | 11.1% | 11.8% | 9.6% | 9.3% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| William Michels | 7.7% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Leyton Borcherding | 5.0% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 9.2% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 3.6% | 1.9% |
| Kerem Erkmen | 11.1% | 10.6% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 10.3% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Ben Mueller | 4.0% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 7.4% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 5.1% | 2.9% | 1.2% |
| Mitchell Callahan | 8.3% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 9.4% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Colman Schofield | 6.9% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Noah Robitshek | 3.3% | 2.0% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 9.2% | 10.1% | 11.4% | 12.2% | 6.9% |
| Peter Joslin | 5.1% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 8.6% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 6.4% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 3.7% | 1.5% | 0.4% |
| Thomas Hall | 6.1% | 7.1% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 8.5% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 0.4% |
| Calvin Lamosse | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 11.9% | 18.7% | 15.7% |
| Stephan Baker | 11.3% | 12.4% | 9.6% | 10.2% | 9.4% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Julius Heitkoetter | 2.6% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 9.4% | 12.4% | 12.0% | 9.9% | 7.0% |
| Carlos de Castro | 9.3% | 8.3% | 9.8% | 9.2% | 9.1% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| James Jagielski | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 10.0% | 17.1% | 44.2% |
| Skylor Sweet | 1.9% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 7.8% | 9.6% | 11.6% | 13.6% | 12.6% | 7.9% |
| Joshua Dillon | 0.9% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 9.1% | 14.7% | 17.3% | 13.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.