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📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island3.23+4.39vs Predicted
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2Tufts University2.43+6.24vs Predicted
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3Boston College2.25+5.94vs Predicted
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4Yale University3.12+1.91vs Predicted
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5Bowdoin College2.81+1.85vs Predicted
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6University of Vermont1.32+6.41vs Predicted
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7Harvard University3.03-0.73vs Predicted
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8Dartmouth College2.82-1.20vs Predicted
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9Roger Williams University3.10-2.91vs Predicted
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10Brown University2.29-1.27vs Predicted
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11Connecticut College1.59+0.35vs Predicted
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12Brown University3.33-6.75vs Predicted
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13Olin College of Engineering0.52+1.50vs Predicted
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14Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.73-3.02vs Predicted
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15Boston University1.44-3.23vs Predicted
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16U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.59-4.58vs Predicted
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17Northeastern University1.37-4.89vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.39University of Rhode Island3.230.1%1st Place
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8.24Tufts University2.430.1%1st Place
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8.94Boston College2.250.0%1st Place
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5.91Yale University3.120.1%1st Place
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6.85Bowdoin College2.810.1%1st Place
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12.41University of Vermont1.320.0%1st Place
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6.27Harvard University3.030.1%1st Place
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6.8Dartmouth College2.820.1%1st Place
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6.09Roger Williams University3.100.1%1st Place
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8.73Brown University2.290.0%1st Place
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11.35Connecticut College1.590.0%1st Place
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5.25Brown University3.330.1%1st Place
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14.5Olin College of Engineering0.520.0%1st Place
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10.98Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.730.0%1st Place
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11.77Boston University1.440.0%1st Place
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11.42U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.590.0%1st Place
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12.11Northeastern University1.370.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kerem Erkmen | 13.9% | 11.8% | 11.2% | 9.8% | 8.4% | 9.4% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Ben Mueller | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 0.6% |
| Jack Redmond | 4.8% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 5.1% | 2.5% | 1.8% |
| Jack Egan | 11.6% | 10.6% | 8.1% | 9.3% | 10.5% | 8.7% | 9.5% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Hall | 8.2% | 8.0% | 9.1% | 7.5% | 9.1% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Calvin Lamosse | 2.0% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 9.4% | 12.9% | 15.5% | 13.3% |
| Mitchell Callahan | 9.7% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 10.0% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 6.6% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| William Michels | 9.0% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Carlos de Castro | 8.4% | 8.7% | 11.2% | 10.5% | 10.2% | 10.5% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Leyton Borcherding | 3.7% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 9.2% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 2.7% | 1.1% |
| Skylor Sweet | 2.8% | 2.1% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 10.6% | 13.4% | 10.8% | 6.7% |
| Guthrie Braun | 12.6% | 15.2% | 11.5% | 9.9% | 8.1% | 9.4% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| James Jagielski | 0.8% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 7.3% | 10.9% | 16.3% | 42.5% |
| Julius Heitkoetter | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 9.8% | 11.5% | 10.6% | 8.3% | 5.7% |
| Tiare Sierra | 1.6% | 3.4% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 6.2% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 9.2% | 9.5% | 11.3% | 14.7% | 9.4% |
| Peter McGonagle | 2.1% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 10.0% | 10.8% | 10.3% | 10.5% | 7.2% |
| Joshua Dillon | 1.2% | 1.7% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 8.7% | 10.2% | 12.2% | 14.5% | 11.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.