← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
47.1%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Yale University3.12+4.74vs Predicted
-
2Tufts University2.43+6.25vs Predicted
-
3University of Rhode Island3.23+2.51vs Predicted
-
4U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.59+7.35vs Predicted
-
5Roger Williams University3.10+0.83vs Predicted
-
6Bowdoin College2.81+1.06vs Predicted
-
7Harvard University3.03-0.84vs Predicted
-
8Brown University3.33-2.85vs Predicted
-
9Dartmouth College2.82-1.96vs Predicted
-
10Connecticut College1.59+1.27vs Predicted
-
11Boston College2.25-1.91vs Predicted
-
12Boston University1.44-0.15vs Predicted
-
13Brown University2.29-4.08vs Predicted
-
14Northeastern University1.37-1.78vs Predicted
-
15University of Vermont1.32-2.83vs Predicted
-
16Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.73-5.09vs Predicted
-
17Olin College of Engineering0.52-2.51vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
5.74Yale University3.120.1%1st Place
-
8.25Tufts University2.430.1%1st Place
-
5.51University of Rhode Island3.230.1%1st Place
-
11.35U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.590.0%1st Place
-
5.83Roger Williams University3.100.1%1st Place
-
7.06Bowdoin College2.810.1%1st Place
-
6.16Harvard University3.030.1%1st Place
-
5.15Brown University3.330.1%1st Place
-
7.04Dartmouth College2.820.1%1st Place
-
11.27Connecticut College1.590.0%1st Place
-
9.09Boston College2.250.0%1st Place
-
11.85Boston University1.440.0%1st Place
-
8.92Brown University2.290.0%1st Place
-
12.22Northeastern University1.370.0%1st Place
-
12.17University of Vermont1.320.0%1st Place
-
10.91Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.730.0%1st Place
-
14.49Olin College of Engineering0.520.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Egan | 11.5% | 10.9% | 11.0% | 8.5% | 9.4% | 8.4% | 9.7% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ben Mueller | 5.4% | 5.0% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 0.5% |
| Kerem Erkmen | 11.8% | 12.2% | 11.8% | 9.9% | 9.5% | 9.1% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Peter McGonagle | 2.2% | 3.6% | 1.9% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 8.9% | 9.1% | 10.0% | 13.9% | 9.2% | 8.1% |
| Carlos de Castro | 11.0% | 11.8% | 9.8% | 11.4% | 8.9% | 9.5% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Hall | 7.3% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 10.1% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 9.6% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Mitchell Callahan | 9.4% | 9.8% | 8.7% | 9.3% | 10.1% | 9.4% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Guthrie Braun | 14.4% | 13.2% | 12.1% | 10.3% | 9.1% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| William Michels | 7.5% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.4% |
| Skylor Sweet | 2.3% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 9.2% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 10.2% | 10.9% | 10.6% | 6.4% |
| Jack Redmond | 4.8% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 9.8% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 2.9% | 1.7% |
| Tiare Sierra | 2.2% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 10.4% | 12.4% | 14.0% | 9.5% |
| Leyton Borcherding | 4.5% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 1.7% |
| Joshua Dillon | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 11.3% | 13.2% | 14.5% | 12.1% |
| Calvin Lamosse | 1.4% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 10.1% | 12.1% | 15.4% | 12.3% |
| Julius Heitkoetter | 2.3% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 10.7% | 8.4% | 9.1% | 9.0% | 5.6% |
| James Jagielski | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 4.1% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 15.6% | 41.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.