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📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University3.05+4.34vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College2.72+4.55vs Predicted
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3Brown University2.63+3.96vs Predicted
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4Tufts University1.66+6.60vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University2.30+2.97vs Predicted
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6Harvard University2.87+0.25vs Predicted
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7Yale University2.77-0.52vs Predicted
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8Northeastern University2.00+1.08vs Predicted
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9U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.76+1.41vs Predicted
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10Connecticut College1.23+2.00vs Predicted
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11Bowdoin College2.45-3.23vs Predicted
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12Boston College2.53-4.71vs Predicted
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13Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.36-4.94vs Predicted
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14University of Vermont1.27-1.96vs Predicted
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15University of Rhode Island2.10-6.10vs Predicted
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16Boston University1.60-5.14vs Predicted
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17Olin College of Engineering-1.07-0.56vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.34Brown University3.050.1%1st Place
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6.55Dartmouth College2.720.1%1st Place
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6.96Brown University2.630.1%1st Place
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10.6Tufts University1.660.0%1st Place
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7.97Roger Williams University2.300.1%1st Place
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6.25Harvard University2.870.1%1st Place
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6.48Yale University2.770.1%1st Place
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9.08Northeastern University2.000.1%1st Place
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10.41U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.760.0%1st Place
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12.0Connecticut College1.230.0%1st Place
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7.77Bowdoin College2.450.1%1st Place
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7.29Boston College2.530.1%1st Place
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8.06Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.360.1%1st Place
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12.04University of Vermont1.270.0%1st Place
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8.9University of Rhode Island2.100.1%1st Place
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10.86Boston University1.600.0%1st Place
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16.44Olin College of Engineering-1.070.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Blake Behrens | 13.9% | 13.4% | 9.6% | 10.8% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Satterberg | 9.2% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 3.7% | 5.6% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Mason Stang | 8.3% | 7.5% | 9.5% | 9.5% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Wyatt Bischoff | 3.8% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 2.9% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 11.4% | 11.5% | 10.0% | 2.2% |
| Kyle Pfrang | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 2.7% | 0.2% |
| Robby Meek | 9.4% | 10.0% | 9.9% | 8.7% | 9.7% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Morgan Pinckney | 8.9% | 9.0% | 7.9% | 9.0% | 10.0% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Adrian Winkelman | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 0.7% |
| Luke Zylinski | 2.4% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 3.3% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 9.6% | 10.0% | 10.5% | 1.3% |
| William Hurd | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 9.4% | 10.3% | 12.8% | 19.1% | 5.1% |
| Sam Bonauto | 7.7% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 8.6% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 0.1% |
| Michael Kirkman | 7.7% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 0.2% |
| Robert Ulmer | 6.3% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 2.0% | 1.0% |
| Christian Cushman | 1.3% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 8.0% | 11.6% | 14.8% | 22.0% | 3.5% |
| Tyler Nash | 5.1% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 4.5% | 0.2% |
| Porter Bell | 2.7% | 1.6% | 2.7% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 8.6% | 6.7% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 12.0% | 12.0% | 2.3% |
| Benjamin Ely | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 6.4% | 83.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.