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📊 Prediction Accuracy
23.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University2.30+6.98vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island2.10+6.86vs Predicted
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3Brown University2.63+3.90vs Predicted
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4Brown University3.05+1.50vs Predicted
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5Tufts University1.66+5.32vs Predicted
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6Northeastern University2.00+3.47vs Predicted
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7U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.76+3.19vs Predicted
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8Yale University2.77-1.61vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.36-0.86vs Predicted
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10Dartmouth College2.72-3.46vs Predicted
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11Harvard University2.87-4.77vs Predicted
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12Bowdoin College2.45-4.38vs Predicted
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13Boston College2.53-5.53vs Predicted
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14Boston University1.60-3.07vs Predicted
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15Connecticut College1.23-2.95vs Predicted
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16Olin College of Engineering-1.07+0.41vs Predicted
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17University of Vermont1.27-5.00vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.98Roger Williams University2.300.1%1st Place
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8.86University of Rhode Island2.100.0%1st Place
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6.9Brown University2.630.1%1st Place
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5.5Brown University3.050.1%1st Place
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10.32Tufts University1.660.0%1st Place
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9.47Northeastern University2.000.0%1st Place
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10.19U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.760.0%1st Place
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6.39Yale University2.770.1%1st Place
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8.14Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.360.0%1st Place
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6.54Dartmouth College2.720.1%1st Place
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6.23Harvard University2.870.1%1st Place
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7.62Bowdoin College2.450.1%1st Place
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7.47Boston College2.530.1%1st Place
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10.93Boston University1.600.0%1st Place
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12.05Connecticut College1.230.0%1st Place
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16.41Olin College of Engineering-1.070.0%1st Place
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12.0University of Vermont1.270.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kyle Pfrang | 7.6% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 1.7% | 0.2% |
| Tyler Nash | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 6.0% | 3.9% | 0.4% |
| Mason Stang | 8.6% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 8.9% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 8.5% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Blake Behrens | 13.3% | 10.8% | 10.5% | 9.7% | 11.3% | 9.0% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Wyatt Bischoff | 3.0% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 9.7% | 9.6% | 9.6% | 10.3% | 1.6% |
| Adrian Winkelman | 4.1% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 8.9% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 0.8% |
| Luke Zylinski | 4.2% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 9.1% | 9.8% | 10.6% | 9.5% | 8.3% | 0.7% |
| Morgan Pinckney | 10.6% | 9.2% | 11.4% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Robert Ulmer | 4.5% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Satterberg | 8.6% | 9.7% | 8.4% | 9.9% | 9.1% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.3% |
| Robby Meek | 11.3% | 9.4% | 9.4% | 9.3% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Sam Bonauto | 6.5% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 8.7% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Michael Kirkman | 7.1% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 0.1% |
| Porter Bell | 2.1% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 9.7% | 9.9% | 12.3% | 13.3% | 1.6% |
| William Hurd | 2.2% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 7.8% | 9.6% | 14.7% | 22.0% | 5.2% |
| Benjamin Ely | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 2.8% | 6.7% | 83.6% |
| Christian Cushman | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 10.4% | 16.2% | 19.0% | 5.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.