← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Boston College2.53+6.16vs Predicted
-
2Tufts University1.66+8.52vs Predicted
-
3Brown University2.63+4.03vs Predicted
-
4Dartmouth College2.72+2.75vs Predicted
-
5Bowdoin College2.45+2.50vs Predicted
-
6Harvard University2.87+0.34vs Predicted
-
7Roger Williams University2.30+1.32vs Predicted
-
8Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.36-0.10vs Predicted
-
9Yale University2.77-2.30vs Predicted
-
10University of Rhode Island2.10-1.16vs Predicted
-
11U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.76-0.61vs Predicted
-
12Northeastern University2.00-2.66vs Predicted
-
13Olin College of Engineering-1.07+3.29vs Predicted
-
14Connecticut College1.50-2.63vs Predicted
-
15Boston University1.60-4.13vs Predicted
-
16University of Vermont1.27-4.00vs Predicted
-
17Brown University3.05-11.31vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
7.16Boston College2.530.1%1st Place
-
10.52Tufts University1.660.0%1st Place
-
7.03Brown University2.630.1%1st Place
-
6.75Dartmouth College2.720.1%1st Place
-
7.5Bowdoin College2.450.1%1st Place
-
6.34Harvard University2.870.1%1st Place
-
8.32Roger Williams University2.300.1%1st Place
-
7.9Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.360.1%1st Place
-
6.7Yale University2.770.1%1st Place
-
8.84University of Rhode Island2.100.0%1st Place
-
10.39U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.760.0%1st Place
-
9.34Northeastern University2.000.0%1st Place
-
16.29Olin College of Engineering-1.070.0%1st Place
-
11.37Connecticut College1.500.0%1st Place
-
10.87Boston University1.600.0%1st Place
-
12.0University of Vermont1.270.0%1st Place
-
5.69Brown University3.050.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Kirkman | 9.1% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Wyatt Bischoff | 3.3% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 11.7% | 10.9% | 10.5% | 2.0% |
| Mason Stang | 9.1% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 1.3% | 0.2% |
| Ryan Satterberg | 9.5% | 9.3% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Sam Bonauto | 7.6% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 4.9% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 2.0% | 0.1% |
| Robby Meek | 8.7% | 10.4% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 9.9% | 9.0% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Kyle Pfrang | 5.6% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 10.1% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 2.3% | 0.4% |
| Robert Ulmer | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 2.2% | 0.1% |
| Morgan Pinckney | 8.1% | 7.7% | 10.4% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 10.0% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Tyler Nash | 4.6% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 3.6% | 0.8% |
| Luke Zylinski | 3.7% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 9.4% | 10.5% | 10.8% | 11.5% | 1.0% |
| Adrian Winkelman | 4.6% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 7.6% | 5.1% | 9.0% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 6.3% | 0.8% |
| Benjamin Ely | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 4.9% | 84.4% |
| Henry Scholz | 2.1% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 10.4% | 9.6% | 11.6% | 18.3% | 2.7% |
| Porter Bell | 3.1% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 8.7% | 10.7% | 12.9% | 13.2% | 2.2% |
| Christian Cushman | 2.2% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 3.7% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 11.4% | 12.0% | 20.7% | 5.0% |
| Blake Behrens | 11.5% | 12.2% | 11.9% | 9.3% | 9.1% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.