← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Roger Williams University2.30+7.01vs Predicted
-
2Boston University1.60+8.79vs Predicted
-
3Brown University2.63+4.02vs Predicted
-
4Bowdoin College2.45+3.70vs Predicted
-
5Harvard University2.87+1.07vs Predicted
-
6Boston College2.53+1.52vs Predicted
-
7Tufts University1.66+3.64vs Predicted
-
8Brown University3.05-2.50vs Predicted
-
9U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.76+1.46vs Predicted
-
10Yale University2.77-3.60vs Predicted
-
11Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.36-2.87vs Predicted
-
12Connecticut College1.50-0.84vs Predicted
-
13Dartmouth College2.72-6.23vs Predicted
-
14University of Vermont1.27-1.91vs Predicted
-
15University of Rhode Island2.10-6.06vs Predicted
-
16Northeastern University2.00-6.66vs Predicted
-
17Olin College of Engineering-1.07-0.54vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
8.01Roger Williams University2.300.1%1st Place
-
10.79Boston University1.600.0%1st Place
-
7.02Brown University2.630.1%1st Place
-
7.7Bowdoin College2.450.1%1st Place
-
6.07Harvard University2.870.1%1st Place
-
7.52Boston College2.530.1%1st Place
-
10.64Tufts University1.660.0%1st Place
-
5.5Brown University3.050.1%1st Place
-
10.46U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.760.0%1st Place
-
6.4Yale University2.770.1%1st Place
-
8.13Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.360.1%1st Place
-
11.16Connecticut College1.500.0%1st Place
-
6.77Dartmouth College2.720.1%1st Place
-
12.09University of Vermont1.270.0%1st Place
-
8.94University of Rhode Island2.100.0%1st Place
-
9.34Northeastern University2.000.0%1st Place
-
16.46Olin College of Engineering-1.070.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kyle Pfrang | 7.1% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 2.5% | 0.0% |
| Porter Bell | 3.0% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 8.7% | 11.2% | 11.2% | 13.2% | 1.8% |
| Mason Stang | 7.6% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 10.3% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 5.1% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| Sam Bonauto | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 8.8% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 0.4% |
| Robby Meek | 11.0% | 10.5% | 10.9% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Michael Kirkman | 7.3% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Wyatt Bischoff | 3.2% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 8.4% | 9.1% | 8.5% | 10.7% | 10.3% | 10.2% | 2.4% |
| Blake Behrens | 13.0% | 14.3% | 11.3% | 9.3% | 9.1% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Luke Zylinski | 2.3% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 8.4% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 9.9% | 12.1% | 9.8% | 1.9% |
| Morgan Pinckney | 9.1% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 10.2% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Robert Ulmer | 7.2% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 8.6% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 0.0% |
| Henry Scholz | 2.6% | 2.1% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 13.0% | 15.2% | 3.6% |
| Ryan Satterberg | 10.0% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 9.1% | 9.4% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Christian Cushman | 1.4% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 8.8% | 10.1% | 13.8% | 22.9% | 4.3% |
| Tyler Nash | 4.6% | 6.7% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 9.5% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 0.2% |
| Adrian Winkelman | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 0.5% |
| Benjamin Ely | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 3.5% | 5.3% | 84.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.