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📊 Prediction Accuracy
52.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College2.53+6.16vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University2.30+6.05vs Predicted
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3Northeastern University2.00+6.23vs Predicted
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4Brown University2.63+3.01vs Predicted
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5Dartmouth College2.72+1.45vs Predicted
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6Bowdoin College2.45+1.73vs Predicted
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7Harvard University2.87-0.93vs Predicted
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8U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.76+1.94vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.36-0.90vs Predicted
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10Yale University2.77-3.65vs Predicted
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11Connecticut College1.23+1.03vs Predicted
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12Boston University1.60-1.33vs Predicted
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13University of Vermont1.27-1.05vs Predicted
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14Tufts University1.66-3.33vs Predicted
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151.91-5.42vs Predicted
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16Olin College of Engineering-1.07+0.40vs Predicted
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17Brown University3.05-11.39vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.16Boston College2.530.1%1st Place
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8.05Roger Williams University2.300.1%1st Place
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9.23Northeastern University2.000.0%1st Place
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7.01Brown University2.630.1%1st Place
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6.45Dartmouth College2.720.1%1st Place
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7.73Bowdoin College2.450.1%1st Place
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6.07Harvard University2.870.1%1st Place
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9.94U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.760.0%1st Place
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8.1Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.360.1%1st Place
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6.35Yale University2.770.1%1st Place
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12.03Connecticut College1.230.0%1st Place
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10.67Boston University1.600.0%1st Place
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11.95University of Vermont1.270.0%1st Place
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10.67Tufts University1.660.0%1st Place
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9.581.910.0%1st Place
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16.4Olin College of Engineering-1.070.0%1st Place
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5.61Brown University3.050.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Kirkman | 9.1% | 8.5% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 8.7% | 5.4% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Kyle Pfrang | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 4.5% | 1.6% | 0.2% |
| Adrian Winkelman | 4.6% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 9.3% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 0.8% |
| Mason Stang | 8.5% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 8.8% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Ryan Satterberg | 10.3% | 9.7% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Sam Bonauto | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 0.0% |
| Robby Meek | 10.4% | 9.4% | 10.1% | 9.3% | 8.7% | 9.5% | 9.5% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Luke Zylinski | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 9.3% | 10.2% | 8.5% | 0.9% |
| Robert Ulmer | 5.0% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 2.0% | 0.1% |
| Morgan Pinckney | 9.9% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 11.3% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.3% |
| William Hurd | 2.3% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 9.6% | 12.5% | 23.0% | 5.3% |
| Porter Bell | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 9.7% | 9.9% | 13.1% | 11.2% | 1.4% |
| Christian Cushman | 2.0% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 3.5% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 10.1% | 14.5% | 20.2% | 3.9% |
| Wyatt Bischoff | 2.6% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 10.4% | 12.5% | 10.2% | 1.9% |
| Henry Lee | 4.3% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 5.5% | 1.4% |
| Benjamin Ely | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 2.8% | 7.1% | 83.6% |
| Blake Behrens | 11.7% | 12.0% | 12.2% | 10.0% | 9.2% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.