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📊 Prediction Accuracy
37.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Washington College3.07+3.48vs Predicted
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2Stevens Institute of Technology2.75+3.38vs Predicted
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3St. Mary's College of Maryland2.89+2.01vs Predicted
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4University of Pennsylvania2.68+1.70vs Predicted
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5Drexel University1.75+3.46vs Predicted
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6Monmouth University1.95+1.86vs Predicted
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7U. S. Naval Academy3.67-3.72vs Predicted
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8Villanova University1.59+0.82vs Predicted
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9University of Delaware0.41+3.28vs Predicted
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10Fordham University1.85-1.84vs Predicted
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11Christopher Newport University1.61-2.17vs Predicted
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12Ocean County College1.73-3.46vs Predicted
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13Princeton University1.10-2.61vs Predicted
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14Penn State University0.99-3.35vs Predicted
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15Rutgers University-0.33-0.99vs Predicted
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16Stevens Institute of Technology-0.40-1.87vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.48Washington College3.070.1%1st Place
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5.38Stevens Institute of Technology2.750.1%1st Place
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5.01St. Mary's College of Maryland2.890.1%1st Place
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5.7University of Pennsylvania2.680.1%1st Place
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8.46Drexel University1.750.0%1st Place
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7.86Monmouth University1.950.0%1st Place
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3.28U. S. Naval Academy3.670.3%1st Place
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8.82Villanova University1.590.0%1st Place
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12.28University of Delaware0.410.0%1st Place
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8.16Fordham University1.850.0%1st Place
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8.83Christopher Newport University1.610.0%1st Place
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8.54Ocean County College1.730.0%1st Place
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10.39Princeton University1.100.0%1st Place
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10.65Penn State University0.990.0%1st Place
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14.01Rutgers University-0.330.0%1st Place
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14.13Stevens Institute of Technology-0.400.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sam Fitzgerald | 13.9% | 15.0% | 15.0% | 12.8% | 10.7% | 10.0% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Gerard Tonachel | 11.3% | 11.8% | 11.5% | 9.5% | 10.1% | 8.8% | 10.4% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 4.8% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Don Hause III | 12.6% | 11.8% | 11.3% | 12.0% | 11.2% | 10.2% | 9.9% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Michael Russom | 8.1% | 10.7% | 11.0% | 9.9% | 9.9% | 10.9% | 10.8% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Joan Boyle | 3.7% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 10.1% | 9.3% | 8.7% | 10.4% | 9.0% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 1.9% | 0.3% |
| Paul Stevens | 4.2% | 3.8% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 10.2% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 9.8% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 4.3% | 1.4% | 0.0% |
| Michael Grove | 26.5% | 19.4% | 15.1% | 12.7% | 10.4% | 6.8% | 3.8% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Domenic Re | 3.1% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 10.3% | 10.3% | 11.3% | 8.0% | 5.7% | 3.3% | 0.3% |
| Suzanne Reynolds | 0.7% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 8.6% | 12.3% | 17.4% | 20.7% | 11.5% |
| John O'Riordan | 4.4% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 9.8% | 12.7% | 8.9% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 4.0% | 1.4% | 0.3% |
| Victoria Miller | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 9.8% | 10.1% | 10.3% | 9.9% | 8.6% | 6.7% | 2.9% | 0.7% |
| Zachary Schippe | 3.4% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 10.7% | 8.4% | 9.3% | 5.1% | 2.7% | 0.5% |
| Gavin Schlissel | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 9.8% | 10.9% | 12.3% | 12.2% | 8.9% | 2.5% |
| Rachel Bennung | 2.2% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 12.3% | 13.2% | 14.6% | 8.1% | 4.0% |
| Laine Meelheim | 0.4% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 2.4% | 0.6% | 2.1% | 3.3% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 12.0% | 25.4% | 38.2% |
| Andrew DaPonte | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 4.2% | 7.1% | 10.8% | 23.2% | 41.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.