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📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University2.63+5.70vs Predicted
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2Bowdoin College2.45+5.49vs Predicted
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3Boston College2.53+4.30vs Predicted
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4Northeastern University2.00+5.32vs Predicted
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5Brown University3.05+0.34vs Predicted
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6Connecticut College1.23+6.18vs Predicted
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7Yale University2.77-0.60vs Predicted
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8University of Vermont1.27+3.64vs Predicted
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9Roger Williams University2.30-0.71vs Predicted
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101.91-0.53vs Predicted
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11Dartmouth College2.72-4.27vs Predicted
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12Harvard University2.87-5.92vs Predicted
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13Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.36-5.03vs Predicted
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14Tufts University1.66-3.31vs Predicted
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15Olin College of Engineering-1.07+1.31vs Predicted
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16U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.76-5.77vs Predicted
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17Boston University1.60-6.14vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.7Brown University2.630.1%1st Place
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7.49Bowdoin College2.450.1%1st Place
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7.3Boston College2.530.1%1st Place
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9.32Northeastern University2.000.0%1st Place
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5.34Brown University3.050.1%1st Place
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12.18Connecticut College1.230.0%1st Place
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6.4Yale University2.770.1%1st Place
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11.64University of Vermont1.270.0%1st Place
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8.29Roger Williams University2.300.0%1st Place
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9.471.910.0%1st Place
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6.73Dartmouth College2.720.1%1st Place
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6.08Harvard University2.870.1%1st Place
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7.97Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.360.1%1st Place
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10.69Tufts University1.660.0%1st Place
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16.31Olin College of Engineering-1.070.0%1st Place
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10.23U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.760.0%1st Place
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10.86Boston University1.600.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mason Stang | 9.9% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 8.6% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Sam Bonauto | 7.9% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 0.1% |
| Michael Kirkman | 8.1% | 6.7% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Adrian Winkelman | 4.1% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 9.4% | 9.5% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 4.8% | 1.2% |
| Blake Behrens | 13.4% | 13.4% | 12.1% | 10.9% | 9.5% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| William Hurd | 2.2% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 10.4% | 13.5% | 21.9% | 5.6% |
| Morgan Pinckney | 9.6% | 9.8% | 6.9% | 9.2% | 10.2% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Christian Cushman | 3.0% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 9.6% | 14.0% | 19.6% | 4.8% |
| Kyle Pfrang | 4.5% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 2.1% | 0.1% |
| Henry Lee | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 8.8% | 9.6% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 0.7% |
| Ryan Satterberg | 10.4% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Robby Meek | 9.9% | 11.9% | 10.7% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Robert Ulmer | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 8.7% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 0.3% |
| Wyatt Bischoff | 2.1% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 9.9% | 9.6% | 13.0% | 10.2% | 1.9% |
| Benjamin Ely | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 7.5% | 81.3% |
| Luke Zylinski | 3.1% | 2.3% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 9.1% | 9.3% | 9.3% | 9.7% | 8.0% | 1.5% |
| Porter Bell | 1.8% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 8.7% | 9.2% | 12.6% | 13.2% | 2.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.