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📊 Prediction Accuracy
23.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College2.72+5.57vs Predicted
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2Brown University3.05+3.52vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University2.30+5.33vs Predicted
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4Bowdoin College2.45+3.74vs Predicted
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5Harvard University2.87+1.04vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island2.10+3.22vs Predicted
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7Northeastern University2.00+2.47vs Predicted
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8Tufts University1.66+2.45vs Predicted
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9Yale University2.77-2.30vs Predicted
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10U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.76+0.21vs Predicted
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11Boston College2.82-4.46vs Predicted
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12Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.36-3.91vs Predicted
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13Brown University2.63-5.82vs Predicted
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14University of Vermont1.27-1.82vs Predicted
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15Boston University1.60-4.09vs Predicted
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16Connecticut College1.50-4.62vs Predicted
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17Olin College of Engineering-1.07-0.53vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.57Dartmouth College2.720.1%1st Place
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5.52Brown University3.050.1%1st Place
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8.33Roger Williams University2.300.1%1st Place
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7.74Bowdoin College2.450.1%1st Place
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6.04Harvard University2.870.1%1st Place
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9.22University of Rhode Island2.100.0%1st Place
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9.47Northeastern University2.000.1%1st Place
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10.45Tufts University1.660.0%1st Place
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6.7Yale University2.770.1%1st Place
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10.21U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.760.0%1st Place
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6.54Boston College2.820.1%1st Place
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8.09Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.360.1%1st Place
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7.18Brown University2.630.1%1st Place
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12.18University of Vermont1.270.0%1st Place
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10.91Boston University1.600.0%1st Place
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11.38Connecticut College1.500.0%1st Place
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16.47Olin College of Engineering-1.070.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Satterberg | 9.7% | 9.5% | 9.1% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Blake Behrens | 12.1% | 13.0% | 10.0% | 10.0% | 9.3% | 9.7% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Kyle Pfrang | 6.0% | 4.6% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 2.5% | 0.2% |
| Sam Bonauto | 7.2% | 8.4% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 0.3% |
| Robby Meek | 11.9% | 10.4% | 10.4% | 9.6% | 9.1% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Tyler Nash | 4.6% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 8.4% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 7.0% | 4.5% | 0.7% |
| Adrian Winkelman | 5.0% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 4.9% | 1.3% |
| Wyatt Bischoff | 3.8% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 9.9% | 11.5% | 11.4% | 1.6% |
| Morgan Pinckney | 6.6% | 8.7% | 11.1% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 4.7% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Luke Zylinski | 2.3% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 7.7% | 9.2% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 9.4% | 9.6% | 8.9% | 1.8% |
| Caroline Sibilly | 10.7% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Robert Ulmer | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 0.3% |
| Mason Stang | 7.1% | 9.0% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 8.9% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 0.1% |
| Christian Cushman | 1.6% | 1.4% | 3.3% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 10.4% | 13.3% | 24.5% | 4.2% |
| Porter Bell | 2.9% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 10.5% | 12.2% | 13.2% | 1.9% |
| Henry Scholz | 2.4% | 1.4% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 9.7% | 12.4% | 15.8% | 3.1% |
| Benjamin Ely | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 3.4% | 5.6% | 84.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.