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📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island2.10+7.77vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College2.72+4.55vs Predicted
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3Boston College2.53+4.42vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University2.30+4.27vs Predicted
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5Brown University3.05+0.42vs Predicted
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6Tufts University1.66+4.79vs Predicted
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7Yale University2.77-0.45vs Predicted
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8Brown University2.63-1.07vs Predicted
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9Harvard University2.87-2.68vs Predicted
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10Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.36-2.14vs Predicted
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11Northeastern University2.00-1.52vs Predicted
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12Boston University1.60-1.14vs Predicted
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13Connecticut College1.50-1.65vs Predicted
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14Bowdoin College2.45-6.21vs Predicted
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15U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.76-4.82vs Predicted
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16University of Vermont1.27-3.99vs Predicted
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17Olin College of Engineering-1.07-0.56vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.77University of Rhode Island2.100.1%1st Place
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6.55Dartmouth College2.720.1%1st Place
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7.42Boston College2.530.1%1st Place
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8.27Roger Williams University2.300.1%1st Place
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5.42Brown University3.050.1%1st Place
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10.79Tufts University1.660.0%1st Place
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6.55Yale University2.770.1%1st Place
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6.93Brown University2.630.1%1st Place
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6.32Harvard University2.870.1%1st Place
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7.86Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.360.1%1st Place
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9.48Northeastern University2.000.0%1st Place
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10.86Boston University1.600.0%1st Place
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11.35Connecticut College1.500.0%1st Place
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7.79Bowdoin College2.450.1%1st Place
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10.18U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.760.0%1st Place
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12.01University of Vermont1.270.0%1st Place
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16.44Olin College of Engineering-1.070.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyler Nash | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 3.9% | 0.2% |
| Ryan Satterberg | 9.7% | 9.3% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 9.7% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Michael Kirkman | 7.7% | 6.1% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 0.2% |
| Kyle Pfrang | 6.6% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 2.8% | 0.4% |
| Blake Behrens | 13.6% | 12.5% | 11.1% | 10.7% | 9.6% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 4.8% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Wyatt Bischoff | 2.8% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 9.9% | 10.6% | 13.6% | 1.6% |
| Morgan Pinckney | 8.5% | 9.6% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 9.6% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Mason Stang | 9.3% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 5.6% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Robby Meek | 8.5% | 9.6% | 10.5% | 9.0% | 9.8% | 9.1% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Robert Ulmer | 5.6% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 0.1% |
| Adrian Winkelman | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 6.3% | 0.6% |
| Porter Bell | 3.0% | 2.1% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 10.2% | 10.7% | 10.7% | 13.2% | 2.8% |
| Henry Scholz | 2.7% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 10.9% | 12.6% | 14.3% | 4.4% |
| Sam Bonauto | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 0.2% |
| Luke Zylinski | 3.4% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 12.0% | 9.6% | 1.5% |
| Christian Cushman | 2.3% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 11.4% | 12.0% | 20.9% | 4.9% |
| Benjamin Ely | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 3.5% | 6.8% | 83.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.