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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College2.53+6.17vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University2.30+6.20vs Predicted
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3Brown University3.05+2.52vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island2.10+5.04vs Predicted
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5Connecticut College1.50+6.04vs Predicted
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6Yale University2.77+0.68vs Predicted
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7Harvard University2.87-0.88vs Predicted
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8Northeastern University2.00+1.16vs Predicted
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9Brown University2.63-1.80vs Predicted
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10Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.36-2.11vs Predicted
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11Dartmouth College2.72-4.17vs Predicted
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12Tufts University1.66-1.40vs Predicted
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13Bowdoin College2.45-5.21vs Predicted
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14Boston University1.60-3.00vs Predicted
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15University of Vermont1.27-3.01vs Predicted
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16U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.76-5.67vs Predicted
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17Olin College of Engineering-1.07-0.54vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.17Boston College2.530.1%1st Place
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8.2Roger Williams University2.300.1%1st Place
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5.52Brown University3.050.1%1st Place
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9.04University of Rhode Island2.100.0%1st Place
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11.04Connecticut College1.500.0%1st Place
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6.68Yale University2.770.1%1st Place
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6.12Harvard University2.870.1%1st Place
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9.16Northeastern University2.000.1%1st Place
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7.2Brown University2.630.1%1st Place
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7.89Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.360.1%1st Place
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6.83Dartmouth College2.720.1%1st Place
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10.6Tufts University1.660.0%1st Place
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7.79Bowdoin College2.450.1%1st Place
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11.0Boston University1.600.0%1st Place
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11.99University of Vermont1.270.0%1st Place
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10.33U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.760.0%1st Place
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16.46Olin College of Engineering-1.070.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Kirkman | 9.1% | 9.1% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Kyle Pfrang | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 2.5% | 0.2% |
| Blake Behrens | 13.8% | 11.6% | 11.2% | 11.3% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Tyler Nash | 4.6% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 4.8% | 0.7% |
| Henry Scholz | 2.2% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 10.6% | 11.3% | 14.1% | 3.4% |
| Morgan Pinckney | 9.3% | 7.2% | 9.4% | 8.7% | 9.1% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Robby Meek | 10.0% | 10.7% | 8.2% | 9.6% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 10.2% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Adrian Winkelman | 5.4% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 10.7% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 0.8% |
| Mason Stang | 6.5% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 9.5% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 0.1% |
| Robert Ulmer | 6.0% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 0.2% |
| Ryan Satterberg | 9.8% | 8.5% | 9.3% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Wyatt Bischoff | 3.5% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 8.8% | 9.9% | 13.4% | 10.8% | 2.1% |
| Sam Bonauto | 6.9% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 0.7% |
| Porter Bell | 1.9% | 3.7% | 2.1% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 11.4% | 12.7% | 13.3% | 2.1% |
| Christian Cushman | 1.9% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 8.3% | 10.4% | 13.2% | 23.1% | 4.4% |
| Luke Zylinski | 3.3% | 2.1% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 8.7% | 6.7% | 9.1% | 11.2% | 9.5% | 1.4% |
| Benjamin Ely | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 6.4% | 83.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.