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📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Washington College-0.80+2.53vs Predicted
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2American University-0.85+1.71vs Predicted
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3SUNY Stony Brook-0.72+0.47vs Predicted
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4Princeton University-0.92-0.12vs Predicted
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5Princeton University-1.65+0.06vs Predicted
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6University of Delaware-2.02-0.46vs Predicted
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7SUNY Maritime College-0.37-4.20vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.53Washington College-0.800.2%1st Place
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3.71American University-0.850.1%1st Place
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3.47SUNY Stony Brook-0.720.2%1st Place
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3.88Princeton University-0.920.1%1st Place
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5.06Princeton University-1.650.1%1st Place
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5.54University of Delaware-2.020.0%1st Place
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2.8SUNY Maritime College-0.370.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Imogene Nuss | 17.1% | 18.5% | 16.8% | 14.8% | 14.7% | 11.0% | 7.1% |
| Brooke Lorson | 13.7% | 16.7% | 16.1% | 18.2% | 15.5% | 13.0% | 6.8% |
| Rose von Eckartsberg | 17.5% | 17.4% | 17.8% | 16.2% | 14.6% | 11.6% | 4.9% |
| Evelyn Walsh | 14.4% | 12.7% | 15.6% | 15.6% | 18.8% | 15.3% | 7.6% |
| Kate Feiner | 5.4% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 10.5% | 15.3% | 23.8% | 28.0% |
| Seton Dill | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 9.0% | 12.4% | 19.7% | 43.9% |
| Nicole Ostapowicz | 27.1% | 22.2% | 19.0% | 15.7% | 8.7% | 5.6% | 1.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.