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📊 Prediction Accuracy
57.1%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Princeton University-0.92+2.79vs Predicted
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2Washington College-0.80+1.59vs Predicted
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3American University-0.85+0.71vs Predicted
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4Princeton University-1.65+1.03vs Predicted
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5SUNY Maritime College-0.37-2.01vs Predicted
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6SUNY Stony Brook-0.72-2.51vs Predicted
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7University of Delaware-2.02-1.59vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.79Princeton University-0.920.1%1st Place
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3.59Washington College-0.800.2%1st Place
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3.71American University-0.850.1%1st Place
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5.03Princeton University-1.650.1%1st Place
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2.99SUNY Maritime College-0.370.2%1st Place
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3.49SUNY Stony Brook-0.720.2%1st Place
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5.41University of Delaware-2.020.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Evelyn Walsh | 14.8% | 15.3% | 14.8% | 17.7% | 14.9% | 13.8% | 8.7% |
| Imogene Nuss | 15.4% | 18.1% | 16.2% | 16.4% | 16.8% | 11.0% | 6.1% |
| Brooke Lorson | 14.3% | 15.5% | 17.9% | 17.0% | 15.4% | 12.5% | 7.4% |
| Kate Feiner | 6.5% | 6.9% | 9.4% | 11.2% | 14.1% | 24.2% | 27.7% |
| Nicole Ostapowicz | 24.4% | 22.0% | 17.5% | 15.2% | 11.6% | 6.1% | 3.2% |
| Rose von Eckartsberg | 19.4% | 15.8% | 16.1% | 16.2% | 15.2% | 12.1% | 5.2% |
| Seton Dill | 5.2% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 12.0% | 20.3% | 41.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.