← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
57.1%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1American University-0.85+2.64vs Predicted
-
2Washington College-0.80+1.59vs Predicted
-
3SUNY Stony Brook-0.72+0.50vs Predicted
-
4Princeton University-0.92-0.14vs Predicted
-
5University of Delaware-2.02+0.59vs Predicted
-
6SUNY Maritime College-0.37-3.06vs Predicted
-
7Princeton University-1.65-2.12vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.64American University-0.850.2%1st Place
-
3.59Washington College-0.800.2%1st Place
-
3.5SUNY Stony Brook-0.720.2%1st Place
-
3.86Princeton University-0.920.1%1st Place
-
5.59University of Delaware-2.020.0%1st Place
-
2.94SUNY Maritime College-0.370.3%1st Place
-
4.88Princeton University-1.650.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brooke Lorson | 16.5% | 15.8% | 16.8% | 16.3% | 15.0% | 12.3% | 7.3% |
| Imogene Nuss | 16.4% | 16.9% | 15.1% | 18.8% | 14.9% | 11.9% | 6.0% |
| Rose von Eckartsberg | 16.1% | 18.0% | 18.3% | 16.1% | 15.7% | 10.5% | 5.3% |
| Evelyn Walsh | 14.6% | 13.3% | 14.3% | 17.4% | 17.9% | 14.6% | 7.9% |
| Seton Dill | 3.7% | 4.5% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 12.6% | 18.9% | 45.4% |
| Nicole Ostapowicz | 25.5% | 21.6% | 18.7% | 14.3% | 9.4% | 8.0% | 2.5% |
| Kate Feiner | 7.2% | 9.9% | 9.0% | 10.0% | 14.5% | 23.8% | 25.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.