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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy3.67+2.10vs Predicted
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2University of Pennsylvania2.68+3.54vs Predicted
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3Monmouth University1.95+4.75vs Predicted
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4St. Mary's College of Maryland2.89+1.10vs Predicted
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5Stevens Institute of Technology2.75+0.38vs Predicted
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6Villanova University1.59+3.02vs Predicted
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7Washington College3.07-2.34vs Predicted
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8Ocean County College1.73+0.41vs Predicted
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9Princeton University1.10+1.41vs Predicted
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10Christopher Newport University1.61-1.07vs Predicted
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11Drexel University1.75-2.58vs Predicted
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12Penn State University0.99-1.27vs Predicted
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13Fordham University1.85-4.95vs Predicted
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14Rutgers University-0.33-0.12vs Predicted
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15University of Delaware0.41-2.52vs Predicted
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16Stevens Institute of Technology-0.40-1.86vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.1U. S. Naval Academy3.670.3%1st Place
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5.54University of Pennsylvania2.680.1%1st Place
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7.75Monmouth University1.950.0%1st Place
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5.1St. Mary's College of Maryland2.890.1%1st Place
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5.38Stevens Institute of Technology2.750.1%1st Place
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9.02Villanova University1.590.0%1st Place
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4.66Washington College3.070.1%1st Place
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8.41Ocean County College1.730.0%1st Place
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10.41Princeton University1.100.0%1st Place
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8.93Christopher Newport University1.610.0%1st Place
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8.42Drexel University1.750.0%1st Place
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10.73Penn State University0.990.0%1st Place
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8.05Fordham University1.850.0%1st Place
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13.88Rutgers University-0.330.0%1st Place
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12.48University of Delaware0.410.0%1st Place
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14.14Stevens Institute of Technology-0.400.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Grove | 28.2% | 20.4% | 17.9% | 11.1% | 8.0% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Michael Russom | 10.1% | 11.2% | 10.0% | 11.3% | 11.0% | 9.8% | 9.7% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 2.7% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Paul Stevens | 4.9% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 9.4% | 11.2% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 3.1% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
| Don Hause III | 10.7% | 13.1% | 10.3% | 11.5% | 12.7% | 11.2% | 7.9% | 9.0% | 5.6% | 3.8% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Gerard Tonachel | 9.4% | 11.7% | 11.1% | 11.1% | 11.5% | 10.0% | 9.6% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Domenic Re | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 8.3% | 6.3% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 9.7% | 8.1% | 10.2% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 4.1% | 1.0% |
| Sam Fitzgerald | 14.4% | 12.6% | 14.2% | 12.2% | 10.3% | 10.2% | 9.2% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Zachary Schippe | 3.1% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 9.7% | 11.1% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 2.3% | 0.2% |
| Gavin Schlissel | 1.9% | 2.2% | 3.6% | 2.0% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 9.9% | 12.5% | 12.7% | 11.8% | 8.1% | 3.2% |
| Victoria Miller | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 9.8% | 11.1% | 12.0% | 10.2% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 2.6% | 0.8% |
| Joan Boyle | 3.8% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 10.1% | 8.6% | 10.2% | 9.9% | 8.2% | 4.5% | 1.9% | 0.5% |
| Rachel Bennung | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 11.0% | 13.1% | 14.1% | 10.1% | 4.0% |
| John O'Riordan | 3.9% | 3.4% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 9.0% | 10.1% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 4.0% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Laine Meelheim | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 5.1% | 8.2% | 13.0% | 24.0% | 35.2% |
| Suzanne Reynolds | 1.0% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 8.8% | 11.8% | 17.3% | 21.0% | 13.5% |
| Andrew DaPonte | 0.1% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 6.7% | 11.7% | 23.5% | 41.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.