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📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1SUNY Maritime College-0.37+1.91vs Predicted
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2SUNY Stony Brook-0.72+1.48vs Predicted
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3American University-0.85+0.72vs Predicted
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4Princeton University-0.92-0.15vs Predicted
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5University of Delaware-2.02+0.59vs Predicted
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6Princeton University-1.65-1.00vs Predicted
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7Washington College-0.80-3.53vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.91SUNY Maritime College-0.370.3%1st Place
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3.48SUNY Stony Brook-0.720.2%1st Place
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3.72American University-0.850.1%1st Place
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3.85Princeton University-0.920.1%1st Place
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5.59University of Delaware-2.020.0%1st Place
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5.0Princeton University-1.650.1%1st Place
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3.47Washington College-0.800.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nicole Ostapowicz | 27.0% | 21.6% | 18.0% | 12.5% | 11.5% | 7.0% | 2.4% |
| Rose von Eckartsberg | 15.7% | 18.9% | 18.3% | 17.5% | 13.3% | 11.3% | 5.0% |
| Brooke Lorson | 14.0% | 17.4% | 15.1% | 17.5% | 15.0% | 14.3% | 6.7% |
| Evelyn Walsh | 14.2% | 13.4% | 15.8% | 16.5% | 17.7% | 14.8% | 7.6% |
| Seton Dill | 3.6% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 11.8% | 18.6% | 46.0% |
| Kate Feiner | 6.9% | 6.7% | 9.6% | 11.4% | 14.5% | 23.4% | 27.5% |
| Imogene Nuss | 18.6% | 16.4% | 16.7% | 16.7% | 16.2% | 10.6% | 4.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.