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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1SUNY Maritime College-0.37+1.90vs Predicted
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2American University-0.85+1.65vs Predicted
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3Princeton University-0.92+0.84vs Predicted
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4SUNY Stony Brook-0.72-0.50vs Predicted
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5Washington College-0.80-1.33vs Predicted
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6Princeton University-1.65-0.99vs Predicted
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7University of Delaware-2.02-1.57vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.9SUNY Maritime College-0.370.3%1st Place
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3.65American University-0.850.1%1st Place
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3.84Princeton University-0.920.1%1st Place
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3.5SUNY Stony Brook-0.720.2%1st Place
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3.67Washington College-0.800.1%1st Place
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5.01Princeton University-1.650.1%1st Place
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5.43University of Delaware-2.020.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nicole Ostapowicz | 27.7% | 21.5% | 16.8% | 13.5% | 10.8% | 6.9% | 2.8% |
| Brooke Lorson | 14.3% | 17.8% | 15.5% | 18.9% | 14.9% | 12.1% | 6.5% |
| Evelyn Walsh | 13.5% | 14.7% | 16.5% | 16.1% | 15.9% | 15.2% | 8.1% |
| Rose von Eckartsberg | 17.9% | 16.5% | 16.6% | 16.8% | 16.0% | 11.2% | 5.0% |
| Imogene Nuss | 14.0% | 17.2% | 17.4% | 16.4% | 15.5% | 13.0% | 6.5% |
| Kate Feiner | 6.9% | 6.8% | 9.0% | 11.5% | 15.6% | 22.2% | 28.0% |
| Seton Dill | 5.7% | 5.5% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 11.3% | 19.4% | 43.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.