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📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Delaware-1.17+2.33vs Predicted
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2Princeton University-0.78+0.74vs Predicted
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3American University-1.49+0.95vs Predicted
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4SUNY Stony Brook-1.63+0.14vs Predicted
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5Washington College-2.16-0.03vs Predicted
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6SUNY Maritime College-1.07-2.77vs Predicted
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7Princeton University-2.75-1.36vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.33University of Delaware-1.170.2%1st Place
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2.74Princeton University-0.780.3%1st Place
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3.95American University-1.490.1%1st Place
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4.14SUNY Stony Brook-1.630.1%1st Place
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4.97Washington College-2.160.1%1st Place
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3.23SUNY Maritime College-1.070.2%1st Place
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5.64Princeton University-2.750.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Olivia Coffill | 20.3% | 16.2% | 20.4% | 15.2% | 13.3% | 10.4% | 4.2% |
| Bracklinn Williams | 26.9% | 25.3% | 18.8% | 13.4% | 8.5% | 5.5% | 1.6% |
| Hannah Arey | 11.9% | 12.2% | 16.7% | 18.9% | 17.2% | 14.6% | 8.5% |
| Alexandra Leen | 11.6% | 11.8% | 12.9% | 16.4% | 19.9% | 16.7% | 10.7% |
| Nora Ciak | 5.5% | 7.7% | 9.4% | 11.3% | 17.6% | 24.5% | 24.0% |
| Grace Wilson | 19.9% | 21.4% | 15.5% | 17.9% | 13.3% | 8.7% | 3.3% |
| Ralitsa Hovanessian | 3.9% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 10.2% | 19.6% | 47.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.