← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1American University-1.49+2.64vs Predicted
-
2SUNY Maritime College-1.07+1.04vs Predicted
-
3Princeton University-0.78-0.37vs Predicted
-
4University of Delaware-1.17-0.75vs Predicted
-
5Washington College-2.16-0.18vs Predicted
-
6Princeton University-2.75-0.37vs Predicted
-
7SUNY Stony Brook-2.39-2.00vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.64American University-1.490.2%1st Place
-
3.04SUNY Maritime College-1.070.2%1st Place
-
2.63Princeton University-0.780.3%1st Place
-
3.25University of Delaware-1.170.2%1st Place
-
4.82Washington College-2.160.1%1st Place
-
5.63Princeton University-2.750.0%1st Place
-
5.0SUNY Stony Brook-2.390.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hannah Arey | 15.7% | 15.5% | 17.5% | 17.3% | 15.1% | 12.6% | 6.3% |
| Grace Wilson | 21.6% | 21.0% | 20.3% | 17.8% | 10.3% | 6.5% | 2.5% |
| Bracklinn Williams | 28.4% | 25.8% | 19.3% | 13.6% | 8.1% | 3.8% | 1.0% |
| Olivia Coffill | 18.9% | 18.8% | 19.3% | 17.3% | 15.0% | 8.4% | 2.3% |
| Nora Ciak | 5.8% | 7.9% | 9.4% | 14.5% | 20.5% | 21.8% | 20.1% |
| Ralitsa Hovanessian | 3.2% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 9.2% | 13.9% | 20.2% | 44.1% |
| Cassandra Edwards | 6.4% | 6.9% | 8.9% | 10.3% | 17.1% | 26.7% | 23.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.