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📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.0
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Delaware-1.17+2.18vs Predicted
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2Princeton University-0.78+0.63vs Predicted
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3SUNY Maritime College-1.07+0.06vs Predicted
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4American University-1.49-0.25vs Predicted
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5Princeton University-2.75+0.62vs Predicted
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6Washington College-2.16-1.23vs Predicted
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7SUNY Stony Brook-2.39-2.01vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.18University of Delaware-1.170.2%1st Place
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2.63Princeton University-0.780.3%1st Place
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3.06SUNY Maritime College-1.070.2%1st Place
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3.75American University-1.490.1%1st Place
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5.62Princeton University-2.750.0%1st Place
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4.77Washington College-2.160.1%1st Place
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4.99SUNY Stony Brook-2.390.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Olivia Coffill | 20.4% | 20.3% | 18.9% | 16.0% | 13.0% | 8.6% | 2.8% |
| Bracklinn Williams | 27.6% | 26.0% | 20.5% | 13.2% | 7.8% | 3.8% | 1.1% |
| Grace Wilson | 21.2% | 20.2% | 20.5% | 18.7% | 10.8% | 6.4% | 2.2% |
| Hannah Arey | 14.0% | 14.1% | 16.0% | 18.7% | 19.1% | 12.7% | 5.4% |
| Ralitsa Hovanessian | 3.6% | 4.0% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 12.3% | 21.4% | 44.1% |
| Nora Ciak | 7.0% | 6.8% | 9.9% | 15.0% | 21.0% | 20.1% | 20.2% |
| Cassandra Edwards | 6.2% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 10.5% | 16.0% | 27.0% | 24.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.