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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.6
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Jacksonville University1.65+0.96vs Predicted
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2University of South Florida1.24+0.30vs Predicted
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3North Carolina State University0.28+0.40vs Predicted
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4University of Miami0.14-0.40vs Predicted
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5Rollins College-0.08-1.10vs Predicted
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6Florida State University-2.79-0.16vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.96Jacksonville University1.650.4%1st Place
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2.3University of South Florida1.240.3%1st Place
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3.4North Carolina State University0.280.1%1st Place
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3.6University of Miami0.140.1%1st Place
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3.9Rollins College-0.080.1%1st Place
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5.84Florida State University-2.790.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emily Allen | 41.4% | 33.5% | 15.6% | 7.2% | 2.0% | 0.3% |
| Emma Shakespeare | 32.0% | 28.1% | 23.5% | 11.1% | 4.9% | 0.4% |
| Lyla Solway | 11.1% | 14.7% | 23.2% | 26.7% | 22.9% | 1.4% |
| Arantxa Argibay | 8.6% | 12.3% | 21.8% | 26.4% | 29.1% | 1.8% |
| Julia Scott | 6.5% | 10.8% | 15.1% | 26.7% | 35.8% | 5.1% |
| Olivia Figley | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.9% | 5.3% | 91.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.