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📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
0.9
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of South Florida1.24+1.37vs Predicted
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2Jacksonville University1.65-0.09vs Predicted
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3University of Miami0.14+0.60vs Predicted
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4North Carolina State University0.28-0.56vs Predicted
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5Florida State University-2.79+0.83vs Predicted
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6Rollins College-0.08-2.15vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.37University of South Florida1.240.3%1st Place
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1.91Jacksonville University1.650.5%1st Place
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3.6University of Miami0.140.1%1st Place
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3.44North Carolina State University0.280.1%1st Place
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5.83Florida State University-2.790.0%1st Place
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3.85Rollins College-0.080.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emma Shakespeare | 27.1% | 31.3% | 23.9% | 12.9% | 4.7% | 0.1% |
| Emily Allen | 45.8% | 28.3% | 17.3% | 6.4% | 2.2% | 0.0% |
| Arantxa Argibay | 10.0% | 13.0% | 19.1% | 26.0% | 28.8% | 3.1% |
| Lyla Solway | 9.7% | 16.2% | 20.7% | 28.6% | 22.9% | 1.9% |
| Olivia Figley | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 2.6% | 5.4% | 90.2% |
| Julia Scott | 7.1% | 10.6% | 18.1% | 23.5% | 36.0% | 4.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.