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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.6
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of South Florida1.24+1.35vs Predicted
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2Jacksonville University1.65-0.09vs Predicted
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3North Carolina State University0.28+0.40vs Predicted
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4University of Miami0.14-0.42vs Predicted
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5Rollins College-0.08-1.09vs Predicted
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6Florida State University-2.79-0.16vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.35University of South Florida1.240.3%1st Place
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1.91Jacksonville University1.650.5%1st Place
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3.4North Carolina State University0.280.1%1st Place
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3.58University of Miami0.140.1%1st Place
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3.91Rollins College-0.080.1%1st Place
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5.84Florida State University-2.790.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emma Shakespeare | 27.1% | 32.7% | 22.6% | 13.3% | 3.8% | 0.5% |
| Emily Allen | 46.2% | 27.3% | 18.0% | 6.4% | 2.1% | 0.0% |
| Lyla Solway | 11.2% | 15.4% | 22.1% | 26.7% | 23.2% | 1.4% |
| Arantxa Argibay | 8.9% | 13.7% | 20.5% | 25.8% | 29.3% | 1.8% |
| Julia Scott | 6.2% | 10.4% | 15.8% | 26.0% | 36.6% | 5.0% |
| Olivia Figley | 0.4% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 5.0% | 91.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.