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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tulane University2.37+2.19vs Predicted
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2Tulane University1.39+3.12vs Predicted
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3Stanford University2.58-0.12vs Predicted
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4College of Charleston1.60+0.75vs Predicted
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5University of South Florida1.86-0.80vs Predicted
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6Jacksonville University1.08-0.35vs Predicted
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7Tulane University1.57-2.21vs Predicted
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8University of South Florida1.15-2.58vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.19Tulane University2.370.2%1st Place
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5.12Tulane University1.390.1%1st Place
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2.88Stanford University2.580.3%1st Place
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4.75College of Charleston1.600.1%1st Place
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4.2University of South Florida1.860.1%1st Place
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5.65Jacksonville University1.080.1%1st Place
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4.79Tulane University1.570.1%1st Place
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5.42University of South Florida1.150.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Samantha Gardner | 21.7% | 23.0% | 17.0% | 13.5% | 10.9% | 7.4% | 4.7% | 1.8% |
| Oakley Cunningham | 7.7% | 8.4% | 9.5% | 11.7% | 13.1% | 16.2% | 17.7% | 15.7% |
| Sophie Fisher | 27.6% | 22.2% | 16.9% | 15.3% | 8.9% | 5.5% | 2.1% | 1.5% |
| Emily Alfortish | 9.4% | 9.9% | 12.5% | 11.8% | 15.1% | 15.6% | 14.1% | 11.6% |
| Kay Brunsvold | 11.6% | 14.4% | 15.2% | 14.4% | 13.0% | 14.5% | 10.9% | 6.0% |
| Agija Elerte | 6.4% | 5.3% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 12.2% | 13.0% | 17.5% | 28.2% |
| Lucy Spearman | 9.2% | 9.9% | 12.0% | 13.3% | 13.4% | 13.7% | 16.0% | 12.5% |
| Grace Jones | 6.4% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 11.6% | 13.4% | 14.1% | 17.0% | 22.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.