← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Tulane University1.57+3.68vs Predicted
-
2Stanford University2.58+0.92vs Predicted
-
3College of Charleston1.60+1.73vs Predicted
-
4Tulane University2.37-0.71vs Predicted
-
5University of South Florida1.15+0.55vs Predicted
-
6University of South Florida1.86-1.84vs Predicted
-
7Tulane University1.39-1.87vs Predicted
-
8Jacksonville University1.08-2.46vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
4.68Tulane University1.570.1%1st Place
-
2.92Stanford University2.580.3%1st Place
-
4.73College of Charleston1.600.1%1st Place
-
3.29Tulane University2.370.2%1st Place
-
5.55University of South Florida1.150.1%1st Place
-
4.16University of South Florida1.860.1%1st Place
-
5.13Tulane University1.390.1%1st Place
-
5.54Jacksonville University1.080.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lucy Spearman | 9.0% | 11.8% | 12.7% | 11.8% | 15.3% | 13.8% | 13.6% | 12.0% |
| Sophie Fisher | 27.1% | 21.9% | 18.1% | 13.1% | 9.1% | 6.8% | 3.1% | 0.8% |
| Emily Alfortish | 10.2% | 10.2% | 11.9% | 12.2% | 14.0% | 15.2% | 13.9% | 12.4% |
| Samantha Gardner | 20.5% | 19.5% | 19.4% | 14.3% | 12.0% | 7.7% | 4.5% | 2.1% |
| Grace Jones | 5.6% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 11.1% | 12.2% | 14.8% | 18.1% | 24.1% |
| Kay Brunsvold | 12.7% | 15.0% | 13.3% | 17.1% | 11.2% | 12.7% | 11.4% | 6.6% |
| Oakley Cunningham | 8.1% | 8.4% | 10.3% | 11.1% | 12.7% | 14.7% | 16.9% | 17.8% |
| Agija Elerte | 6.8% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 9.3% | 13.5% | 14.3% | 18.5% | 24.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.