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📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tulane University1.39+4.02vs Predicted
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2Stanford University2.58+0.91vs Predicted
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3Tulane University2.37+0.27vs Predicted
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4Tulane University1.57+0.79vs Predicted
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5University of South Florida1.86-0.81vs Predicted
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6Jacksonville University1.08-0.35vs Predicted
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7College of Charleston1.60-2.25vs Predicted
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8University of South Florida1.15-2.58vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.02Tulane University1.390.1%1st Place
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2.91Stanford University2.580.3%1st Place
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3.27Tulane University2.370.2%1st Place
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4.79Tulane University1.570.1%1st Place
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4.19University of South Florida1.860.1%1st Place
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5.65Jacksonville University1.080.1%1st Place
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4.75College of Charleston1.600.1%1st Place
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5.42University of South Florida1.150.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oakley Cunningham | 7.8% | 9.2% | 10.3% | 11.7% | 13.7% | 16.4% | 15.6% | 15.3% |
| Sophie Fisher | 26.9% | 22.3% | 17.8% | 13.6% | 9.5% | 6.2% | 2.9% | 0.8% |
| Samantha Gardner | 21.2% | 20.7% | 16.8% | 16.2% | 10.9% | 7.3% | 4.6% | 2.3% |
| Lucy Spearman | 9.1% | 10.2% | 12.5% | 11.0% | 14.4% | 16.3% | 13.4% | 13.1% |
| Kay Brunsvold | 11.3% | 15.0% | 15.6% | 14.3% | 13.6% | 12.0% | 11.8% | 6.4% |
| Agija Elerte | 6.6% | 5.4% | 7.8% | 10.3% | 10.8% | 13.0% | 18.0% | 28.1% |
| Emily Alfortish | 10.0% | 10.4% | 11.6% | 12.6% | 13.8% | 13.7% | 15.4% | 12.5% |
| Grace Jones | 7.1% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 10.3% | 13.3% | 15.1% | 18.3% | 21.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.