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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University2.58+1.88vs Predicted
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2College of Charleston1.60+2.70vs Predicted
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3Tulane University1.39+2.08vs Predicted
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4Tulane University2.37-0.73vs Predicted
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5Jacksonville University1.08+0.68vs Predicted
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6University of South Florida1.15-0.51vs Predicted
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7University of South Florida1.86-2.74vs Predicted
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8Tulane University1.57-3.37vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.88Stanford University2.580.3%1st Place
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4.7College of Charleston1.600.1%1st Place
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5.08Tulane University1.390.1%1st Place
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3.27Tulane University2.370.2%1st Place
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5.68Jacksonville University1.080.0%1st Place
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5.49University of South Florida1.150.1%1st Place
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4.26University of South Florida1.860.1%1st Place
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4.63Tulane University1.570.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sophie Fisher | 27.0% | 23.0% | 18.3% | 13.3% | 8.5% | 6.1% | 2.5% | 1.3% |
| Emily Alfortish | 9.7% | 10.7% | 10.4% | 14.0% | 15.3% | 15.0% | 13.9% | 11.0% |
| Oakley Cunningham | 8.3% | 9.2% | 10.2% | 10.5% | 12.3% | 15.4% | 18.0% | 16.1% |
| Samantha Gardner | 21.3% | 21.1% | 16.3% | 13.4% | 14.8% | 7.2% | 3.5% | 2.4% |
| Agija Elerte | 4.8% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 9.7% | 9.8% | 14.5% | 21.2% | 25.5% |
| Grace Jones | 6.3% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 9.7% | 13.2% | 12.7% | 17.4% | 25.0% |
| Kay Brunsvold | 12.7% | 11.2% | 16.1% | 15.2% | 12.7% | 13.7% | 10.7% | 7.7% |
| Lucy Spearman | 9.9% | 10.5% | 12.8% | 14.2% | 13.4% | 15.4% | 12.8% | 11.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.