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📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston1.60+3.64vs Predicted
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2Stanford University2.58+0.92vs Predicted
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3Tulane University2.37+0.25vs Predicted
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4Tulane University1.39+1.11vs Predicted
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5Tulane University1.57-0.23vs Predicted
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6University of South Florida1.15-0.51vs Predicted
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7University of South Florida1.86-2.72vs Predicted
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8Jacksonville University1.08-2.45vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.64College of Charleston1.600.1%1st Place
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2.92Stanford University2.580.3%1st Place
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3.25Tulane University2.370.2%1st Place
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5.11Tulane University1.390.1%1st Place
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4.77Tulane University1.570.1%1st Place
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5.49University of South Florida1.150.1%1st Place
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4.28University of South Florida1.860.1%1st Place
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5.55Jacksonville University1.080.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emily Alfortish | 9.0% | 12.2% | 12.0% | 14.2% | 14.0% | 13.2% | 14.6% | 10.8% |
| Sophie Fisher | 26.3% | 22.9% | 18.7% | 12.0% | 9.4% | 7.1% | 2.4% | 1.2% |
| Samantha Gardner | 21.9% | 19.5% | 18.5% | 14.6% | 11.7% | 7.0% | 4.5% | 2.3% |
| Oakley Cunningham | 7.2% | 9.9% | 9.3% | 10.9% | 12.9% | 18.0% | 14.9% | 16.9% |
| Lucy Spearman | 9.0% | 10.1% | 12.2% | 14.1% | 13.2% | 13.4% | 15.6% | 12.4% |
| Grace Jones | 7.1% | 5.7% | 8.9% | 10.8% | 11.7% | 14.0% | 16.4% | 25.4% |
| Kay Brunsvold | 13.2% | 13.1% | 12.7% | 14.0% | 14.7% | 12.6% | 12.7% | 7.0% |
| Agija Elerte | 6.3% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 9.4% | 12.4% | 14.7% | 18.9% | 24.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.