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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.9
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hillsdale College1.04+1.39vs Predicted
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2Indiana University1.19+0.31vs Predicted
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3Ohio State University1.15-0.74vs Predicted
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4Northwestern University-1.17+0.50vs Predicted
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50.02-1.47vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.39Hillsdale College1.0427.3%1st Place
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2.31Indiana University1.1929.5%1st Place
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2.26Ohio State University1.1532.3%1st Place
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4.5Northwestern University-1.172.3%1st Place
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3.530.028.6%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arden Carleton | 27.3% | 28.0% | 26.7% | 14.5% | 3.5% |
| Nithya Balachander | 29.5% | 28.9% | 24.8% | 14.2% | 2.6% |
| Nadia Reynolds | 32.3% | 26.9% | 25.5% | 12.8% | 2.5% |
| Azim Usmanov | 2.3% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 16.1% | 71.4% |
| Alex Day | 8.6% | 11.7% | 17.3% | 42.3% | 20.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.