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📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tulane University1.57+3.69vs Predicted
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2College of Charleston1.60+2.75vs Predicted
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3Tulane University2.37+0.25vs Predicted
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4Stanford University2.58-1.09vs Predicted
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5University of South Florida1.86-0.82vs Predicted
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6Jacksonville University1.08-0.33vs Predicted
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7Tulane University1.39-1.87vs Predicted
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8University of South Florida1.15-2.57vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.69Tulane University1.570.1%1st Place
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4.75College of Charleston1.600.1%1st Place
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3.25Tulane University2.370.2%1st Place
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2.91Stanford University2.580.3%1st Place
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4.18University of South Florida1.860.1%1st Place
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5.67Jacksonville University1.080.1%1st Place
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5.13Tulane University1.390.1%1st Place
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5.43University of South Florida1.150.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lucy Spearman | 9.0% | 11.5% | 12.0% | 12.8% | 14.3% | 14.7% | 15.3% | 10.4% |
| Emily Alfortish | 10.0% | 9.4% | 12.4% | 11.7% | 15.4% | 15.0% | 13.9% | 12.2% |
| Samantha Gardner | 22.0% | 19.8% | 17.9% | 14.9% | 10.8% | 8.4% | 3.9% | 2.3% |
| Sophie Fisher | 25.9% | 24.6% | 15.6% | 14.9% | 10.4% | 4.4% | 2.5% | 1.7% |
| Kay Brunsvold | 11.7% | 13.9% | 16.2% | 15.0% | 12.2% | 14.2% | 11.1% | 5.7% |
| Agija Elerte | 5.9% | 5.8% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 11.9% | 13.5% | 16.7% | 28.9% |
| Oakley Cunningham | 8.7% | 8.0% | 10.0% | 10.9% | 12.8% | 13.7% | 19.2% | 16.7% |
| Grace Jones | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 10.7% | 12.2% | 16.1% | 17.4% | 22.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.