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📊 Prediction Accuracy
37.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tulane University2.37+2.12vs Predicted
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2College of Charleston1.60+2.58vs Predicted
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3Jacksonville University1.08+2.52vs Predicted
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4University of South Florida1.86+0.08vs Predicted
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5Stanford University2.58-2.15vs Predicted
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6Tulane University0.81-0.07vs Predicted
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7University of South Florida1.15-1.59vs Predicted
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8Tulane University1.57-3.50vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.12Tulane University2.370.2%1st Place
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4.58College of Charleston1.600.1%1st Place
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5.52Jacksonville University1.080.1%1st Place
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4.08University of South Florida1.860.1%1st Place
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2.85Stanford University2.580.3%1st Place
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5.93Tulane University0.810.0%1st Place
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5.41University of South Florida1.150.1%1st Place
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4.5Tulane University1.570.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Samantha Gardner | 23.1% | 19.8% | 20.5% | 14.0% | 9.8% | 7.8% | 3.6% | 1.4% |
| Emily Alfortish | 9.8% | 11.1% | 10.7% | 15.2% | 16.6% | 13.7% | 15.3% | 7.6% |
| Agija Elerte | 5.9% | 7.7% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 10.2% | 13.7% | 21.8% | 22.9% |
| Kay Brunsvold | 13.0% | 13.8% | 14.9% | 15.0% | 14.8% | 15.4% | 8.3% | 4.8% |
| Sophie Fisher | 26.5% | 24.6% | 16.9% | 13.9% | 9.1% | 5.8% | 2.6% | 0.6% |
| Ashley Hoguet | 4.7% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 8.7% | 10.3% | 13.5% | 17.9% | 33.2% |
| Grace Jones | 7.0% | 6.5% | 8.8% | 9.5% | 13.3% | 15.2% | 18.4% | 21.3% |
| Lucy Spearman | 10.0% | 11.5% | 12.3% | 15.1% | 15.9% | 14.9% | 12.1% | 8.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.