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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of South Florida1.86+3.03vs Predicted
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2Tulane University2.37+1.20vs Predicted
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3Stanford University2.58-0.21vs Predicted
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4College of Charleston1.60+0.58vs Predicted
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5Jacksonville University1.08+0.53vs Predicted
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6Tulane University0.81-0.05vs Predicted
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7University of South Florida1.15-1.56vs Predicted
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8Tulane University1.57-3.52vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.03University of South Florida1.860.1%1st Place
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3.2Tulane University2.370.2%1st Place
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2.79Stanford University2.580.3%1st Place
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4.58College of Charleston1.600.1%1st Place
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5.53Jacksonville University1.080.1%1st Place
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5.95Tulane University0.810.1%1st Place
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5.44University of South Florida1.150.1%1st Place
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4.48Tulane University1.570.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kay Brunsvold | 12.9% | 15.3% | 16.0% | 15.1% | 14.1% | 10.9% | 10.7% | 5.0% |
| Samantha Gardner | 21.2% | 21.9% | 17.7% | 14.5% | 11.2% | 8.0% | 4.4% | 1.1% |
| Sophie Fisher | 28.8% | 22.4% | 18.6% | 12.4% | 10.3% | 4.8% | 1.8% | 0.9% |
| Emily Alfortish | 9.9% | 12.3% | 11.2% | 13.6% | 14.1% | 16.8% | 12.8% | 9.3% |
| Agija Elerte | 5.2% | 5.9% | 8.0% | 11.9% | 11.6% | 15.3% | 21.7% | 20.4% |
| Ashley Hoguet | 5.4% | 3.9% | 6.1% | 9.1% | 10.9% | 13.2% | 18.3% | 33.1% |
| Grace Jones | 6.0% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 12.2% | 15.9% | 18.5% | 21.9% |
| Lucy Spearman | 10.6% | 10.5% | 13.2% | 14.9% | 15.6% | 15.1% | 11.8% | 8.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.