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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Indiana University1.19+1.40vs Predicted
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20.02+1.43vs Predicted
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3Hillsdale College1.04-0.61vs Predicted
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4Ohio State University1.15-1.73vs Predicted
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5Northwestern University-1.17-0.49vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.4Indiana University1.1927.2%1st Place
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3.430.0211.3%1st Place
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2.39Hillsdale College1.0427.5%1st Place
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2.27Ohio State University1.1530.9%1st Place
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4.51Northwestern University-1.173.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nithya Balachander | 27.2% | 27.9% | 26.4% | 15.0% | 3.5% |
| Alex Day | 11.3% | 11.6% | 17.2% | 42.0% | 17.8% |
| Arden Carleton | 27.5% | 27.3% | 27.1% | 15.1% | 3.0% |
| Nadia Reynolds | 30.9% | 29.7% | 23.4% | 13.7% | 2.4% |
| Azim Usmanov | 3.1% | 3.5% | 5.9% | 14.1% | 73.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.