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📊 Prediction Accuracy
25.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy3.67+2.14vs Predicted
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2Ocean County College1.73+6.49vs Predicted
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3University of Pennsylvania2.68+2.60vs Predicted
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4Penn State University0.99+6.88vs Predicted
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5Princeton University1.10+5.52vs Predicted
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6Fordham University1.85+2.27vs Predicted
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7Christopher Newport University1.61+1.99vs Predicted
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8St. Mary's College of Maryland2.89-3.05vs Predicted
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9Drexel University1.75-0.60vs Predicted
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10Stevens Institute of Technology2.75-4.50vs Predicted
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11Monmouth University1.95-3.15vs Predicted
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12Villanova University1.80-3.69vs Predicted
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13Stevens Institute of Technology-0.40+1.07vs Predicted
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14Rutgers University-0.33-0.09vs Predicted
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15Washington College3.07-10.34vs Predicted
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16University of Delaware0.41-3.55vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.14U. S. Naval Academy3.670.3%1st Place
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8.49Ocean County College1.730.0%1st Place
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5.6University of Pennsylvania2.680.1%1st Place
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10.88Penn State University0.990.0%1st Place
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10.52Princeton University1.100.0%1st Place
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8.27Fordham University1.850.0%1st Place
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8.99Christopher Newport University1.610.0%1st Place
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4.95St. Mary's College of Maryland2.890.1%1st Place
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8.4Drexel University1.750.0%1st Place
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5.5Stevens Institute of Technology2.750.1%1st Place
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7.85Monmouth University1.950.1%1st Place
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8.31Villanova University1.800.0%1st Place
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14.07Stevens Institute of Technology-0.400.0%1st Place
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13.91Rutgers University-0.330.0%1st Place
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4.66Washington College3.070.1%1st Place
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12.45University of Delaware0.410.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Grove | 26.7% | 21.8% | 16.8% | 12.4% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Zachary Schippe | 3.0% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 10.2% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 4.7% | 2.6% | 0.7% |
| Michael Russom | 9.6% | 10.3% | 10.1% | 10.1% | 12.1% | 9.7% | 9.1% | 9.5% | 7.4% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Rachel Bennung | 1.1% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 10.9% | 13.2% | 14.2% | 12.4% | 3.0% |
| Gavin Schlissel | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 10.7% | 14.0% | 12.4% | 7.9% | 3.5% |
| John O'Riordan | 4.6% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 8.9% | 10.5% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 4.8% | 2.4% | 0.2% |
| Victoria Miller | 3.8% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 9.5% | 7.9% | 9.7% | 10.8% | 10.6% | 7.1% | 2.6% | 0.8% |
| Don Hause III | 12.2% | 12.5% | 13.2% | 12.5% | 8.6% | 11.4% | 9.0% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Joan Boyle | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 11.2% | 7.8% | 9.6% | 6.7% | 4.7% | 2.4% | 0.7% |
| Gerard Tonachel | 9.3% | 10.2% | 10.1% | 10.6% | 14.1% | 10.5% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Paul Stevens | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 9.5% | 11.2% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 5.5% | 3.3% | 0.8% | 0.4% |
| Andrew Sayre | 3.8% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 8.9% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 9.1% | 7.5% | 9.3% | 10.2% | 9.3% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 2.7% | 0.6% |
| Andrew DaPonte | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 10.9% | 22.8% | 41.3% |
| Laine Meelheim | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 7.4% | 12.3% | 23.5% | 36.6% |
| Sam Fitzgerald | 12.9% | 13.2% | 14.0% | 13.2% | 11.0% | 9.5% | 9.5% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Suzanne Reynolds | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 8.5% | 11.8% | 19.6% | 19.7% | 12.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.