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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.7
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Ohio State University-0.71+1.64vs Predicted
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2Washington University-0.08-0.05vs Predicted
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3Marquette University-1.60+0.61vs Predicted
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4Purdue University-0.88-1.19vs Predicted
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5Western Michigan University-2.01-0.84vs Predicted
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6Saginaw Valley State University-4.51-0.16vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.64Ohio State University-0.710.2%1st Place
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1.95Washington University-0.080.4%1st Place
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3.61Marquette University-1.600.1%1st Place
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2.81Purdue University-0.880.2%1st Place
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4.16Western Michigan University-2.010.1%1st Place
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5.84Saginaw Valley State University-4.510.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emma Hershey | 22.1% | 27.6% | 24.6% | 16.6% | 8.5% | 0.6% |
| Wyatt Tait | 44.0% | 28.8% | 17.4% | 7.9% | 1.9% | 0.0% |
| Eva Paschke | 10.0% | 11.5% | 18.9% | 28.6% | 29.2% | 1.8% |
| Alex Day | 18.6% | 23.1% | 26.5% | 22.6% | 8.8% | 0.4% |
| Jack Charlton | 5.0% | 8.5% | 11.5% | 22.6% | 45.5% | 6.9% |
| Piper Luke | 0.3% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 6.1% | 90.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.