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📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
0.8
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Washington University-0.08+0.99vs Predicted
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2Purdue University-0.88+0.75vs Predicted
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3Marquette University-1.60+0.63vs Predicted
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4Western Michigan University-2.01+0.08vs Predicted
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5Ohio State University-0.71-2.29vs Predicted
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6Saginaw Valley State University-4.51-0.15vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.99Washington University-0.080.4%1st Place
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2.75Purdue University-0.880.2%1st Place
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3.63Marquette University-1.600.1%1st Place
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4.08Western Michigan University-2.010.1%1st Place
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2.71Ohio State University-0.710.2%1st Place
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5.85Saginaw Valley State University-4.510.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wyatt Tait | 42.0% | 29.7% | 17.8% | 8.4% | 1.8% | 0.3% |
| Alex Day | 21.1% | 24.4% | 23.9% | 20.7% | 9.1% | 0.8% |
| Eva Paschke | 9.6% | 12.0% | 18.1% | 28.6% | 29.7% | 2.0% |
| Jack Charlton | 5.6% | 7.8% | 13.9% | 23.2% | 45.0% | 4.5% |
| Emma Hershey | 21.3% | 25.7% | 25.0% | 17.6% | 9.5% | 0.9% |
| Piper Luke | 0.4% | 0.4% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 4.9% | 91.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.